Bauru vs Mogi prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin BAU by 5 Win BAU 64% Actual 140 · MOG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Bauru vs Mogi
Last 28 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Bauru at home, last 21 games · Mogi away, last 25
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bauru 1, Mogi 1.
- Average total 143.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MOG by 8 Apr 1, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 1, 2026 NBB Mogi 87–79 OT Bauru 166 pts · OT
- Dec 12, 2025 NBB Bauru 62–58 Mogi 120 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Bauru 83, Sao Jose 68. Won. Odds: Bauru 1.27, Sao Jose 2.70.
- Oct 18: Flamengo 81, Bauru 82. Won. Odds: Flamengo 1.20, Bauru 4.20.
- Apr 29: Paulistano 71, Bauru 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Bauru 88, Paulistano 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Bauru 80, Paulistano 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 21: Franca 90, Mogi 74. Lost. Odds: Franca 1.91, Mogi 1.57.
- Oct 17: Mogi 84, Corinthians Paulista 73. Won. Odds: Mogi 1.28, Corinthians Paulista 3.30.
- May 15: Franca 78, Mogi 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Franca 90, Mogi 102. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Mogi 70, Franca 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Mogi dropped from 1.72 to 1.38 since they were first published.
- 10th vs 4th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAU moneyline | 1.98 | moved up 2.80 |
| MOG moneyline | 1.72 | moved down 1.38 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| BAU spread | +1.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bauru host Mogi in the NBB on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.