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Basquet Girona vs Murcia prediction

ACB Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start11:00ET Round 1
Basquet GironaHome · 3-3 · 12th · Moneyline odds up 2.21
841st quarter 222nd quarter 143rd quarter 164th quarter 32
MurciaAway · 3-3 · 10th · Moneyline odds down 1.64
771st quarter 162nd quarter 173rd quarter 194th quarter 25
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Basquet Girona 22 14 16 32
Murcia 16 17 19 25
FT Pavello Fontajau · SpainPavello Fontajau · Round 1
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Lost
2 odds down 1.64 64% confidence
Murcia to win edge +3.0%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 odds down 1.64 Murcia to win Confidence64% model 57.6% · market 54.6% edge +3.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 2 odds down 1.64 57.6% 54.6% +3.0% 64% Lost
Total points U175.5 1.82 52.8% 50.0% +2.8% 53% Won
Point spread MUR -2 1.82 49.9% 50.0% −0.1% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Basquet Girona8486
Murcia7788
Total 174 actual 161
Winning margin MUR by 2 actual BAS by 7
Chance to win MUR 58% BAS won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Basquet Girona8486
Murcia7788

Total 174 Margin MUR by 2 Win MUR 58% Actual 161 · BAS won

Basquet Girona host Murcia in the ACB on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.