Baskonia vs Real Madrid prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 186 Margin REA by 10 Win REA 78% Actual 190 · REA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Baskonia vs Real Madrid
Last 16 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Baskonia at home, last 8 games · Real Madrid away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Baskonia 3, Real Madrid 1.
- Average total 187.8 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAS by 5 May 27, 2026
Meetings
- May 27, 2026 ACB Real Madrid 83–88 Baskonia 171 pts
- Apr 3, 2026 EuroLeague Baskonia 98–96 Real Madrid 194 pts
- Dec 11, 2025 EuroLeague Real Madrid 94–87 Baskonia 181 pts
- Oct 12, 2025 ACB Baskonia 105–100 Real Madrid 205 pts
Last five games
- Oct 25: Valencia 84, Baskonia 75. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.10, Baskonia 6.00.
- Oct 22: Panathinaikos 85, Baskonia 79. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.02, Baskonia 12.00.
- Oct 18: Tenerife 82, Baskonia 77. Lost. Odds: Tenerife 1.38, Baskonia 2.77.
- Oct 16: Virtus Bologna 86, Baskonia 78. Lost. Odds: Virtus Bologna 1.48, Baskonia 2.45.
- Oct 13: Baskonia 79, Dubai 93. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 2.22, Dubai 1.66.
- Oct 25: Forca Lleida 86, Real Madrid 122. Won. Odds: Forca Lleida 6.00, Real Madrid 1.10.
- Oct 22: Maccabi Tel Aviv 99, Real Madrid 113. Won. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.50, Real Madrid 1.46.
- Oct 18: Real Madrid 119, Bilbao 84. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.10, Bilbao 5.60.
- Oct 15: Real Madrid 111, Lyon-Villeurbanne 92. Won. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.23.
- Oct 13: Olimpia Milano 89, Real Madrid 98. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for Real Madrid coming into this game.
- 5-game losing streak for Baskonia coming into this game.
- 1-4 at home for Baskonia this season.
- Net rating difference of 21.8 — Baskonia −3.3 per 100 possessions, Real Madrid +18.5.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Baskonia.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 3.70 | moved up 4.20 |
| REA moneyline | 1.23 | moved down 1.19 |
| Total points | 182.5 | 182.5 |
| BAS spread | +8.5 | moved up +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Baskonia host Real Madrid in the EuroLeague on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.