Baskonia vs Joventut Badalona prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 182 Margin JOV by 2 Win JOV 55% Actual 166 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Baskonia vs Joventut Badalona
Last 16 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Baskonia 1, Joventut Badalona 4.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting JOV by 12 Sep 19, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 19, 2026 Supercopa ACB Joventut Badalona 96–84 Baskonia 180 pts
- Jun 7, 2026 ACB Baskonia 88–96 Joventut Badalona 184 pts
- Jun 5, 2026 ACB Joventut Badalona 82–63 Baskonia 145 pts
- Jun 3, 2026 ACB Baskonia 85–71 Joventut Badalona 156 pts
- Apr 18, 2026 ACB Joventut Badalona 81–69 Baskonia 150 pts
Last five games
- Oct 9: Baskonia 84, Besiktas 92. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 1.72, Besiktas 2.12.
- Oct 4: Baskonia 118, Basquet Girona 78. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.20, Basquet Girona 4.31.
- Oct 2: Baskonia 87, Olimpia Milano 76. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.95, Olimpia Milano 1.87.
- Sep 29: Valencia 111, Baskonia 88. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.27, Baskonia 3.71.
- Sep 27: San Pablo Burgos 97, Baskonia 98. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.23, Baskonia 1.62.
- Oct 6: Joventut Badalona 86, Bnei Herzliya 75. Won. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.06, Bnei Herzliya 8.56.
- Sep 27: Breogan 110, Joventut Badalona 104. Lost. Odds: Breogan 2.63, Joventut Badalona 1.46.
- Sep 20: Joventut Badalona 101, Barcelona 87. Won. Odds: Joventut Badalona 2.02, Barcelona 1.74.
- Sep 19: Joventut Badalona 96, Baskonia 84. Won. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.41, Baskonia 2.74.
- Jun 14: Joventut Badalona 75, Valencia 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Joventut Badalona, 1 for Baskonia.
- Net rating difference of 8.6 — Baskonia −3.3 per 100 possessions, Joventut Badalona +5.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Joventut Badalona.
- 163.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 182.5.
- 3rd vs 14th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.46 | moved up 1.50 |
| JOV moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 2.53 |
| Total points | 182.5 | 182.5 |
| BAS spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Baskonia host Joventut Badalona in the ACB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.