Baskonia vs Basquet Girona Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start13:00ET Round 2

BaskoniaHome · 4-2 · 3rd · 1.20

11820343232

Basquet GironaAway · 3-3 · 12th · 4.31

7826161917

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Baskonia 20 34 32 32

Basquet Girona 26 16 19 17

FT Fernando Buesa Arena · SpainFernando Buesa Arena · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

BAS +17.5 1.28 71%

Basquet Girona +17.5 on the spread edge −0.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost BAS +17.5 1.28 Basquet Girona +17.5 on the spread Confidence71% model 71.2% · market 72.1% edge −0.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.20 39.4% 78.2% −38.8% 51% Won

Total points U193.5 1.32 64.4% 70.3% −5.9% 65% Lost

Point spread BAS +17.5 1.28 71.2% 72.1% −0.9% 71% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Baskonia11891

Basquet Girona7890

Total 181 actual 196

Winning margin BAS by 1 actual BAS by 40

Chance to win BAS 54% BAS won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Baskonia11891

Basquet Girona7890

Total 181 Margin BAS by 1 Win BAS 54% Actual 196 · BAS won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Baskonia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Basquet Girona

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Baskonia vs Basquet Girona

Baskonia Basquet Girona

Last 16 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Baskonia 2-3

Oct 2: Baskonia 87, Olimpia Milano 76. Won. Odds: Baskonia 1.95, Olimpia Milano 1.87.
Sep 29: Valencia 111, Baskonia 88. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.27, Baskonia 3.71.
Sep 27: San Pablo Burgos 97, Baskonia 98. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.23, Baskonia 1.62.
Sep 24: Baskonia 89, Olympiacos 106. Lost. Odds: Baskonia 4.26, Olympiacos 1.21.
Sep 19: Joventut Badalona 96, Baskonia 84. Lost. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.41, Baskonia 2.74.

Basquet Girona 2-3

Sep 27: Basquet Girona 84, Murcia 77. Won. Odds: Basquet Girona 2.21, Murcia 1.64.
May 29: Basquet Girona 82, Joventut Badalona 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 24: Bilbao 86, Basquet Girona 80. Lost. No odds on record.
May 16: Breogan 95, Basquet Girona 76. Lost. No odds on record.
May 12: Basquet Girona 74, Manresa 79. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BAS moneyline	1.14	moved up 1.20
BAS moneyline	5.00	moved down 4.31
Total points	183.5	183.5
BAS spread	−10.5	−10.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Baskonia host Basquet Girona in the ACB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.