Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start11:00ET Round 2

Basket ZaragozaHome · 4-2 · 6th · 2.52

8222172815

ValenciaAway · 4-2 · 2nd · 1.50

9721153031

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Basket Zaragoza 22 17 28 15

Valencia 21 15 30 31

FT Pabellon Principe Felipe · SpainPabellon Principe Felipe · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.50 51%

Valencia to win edge −19.9%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.50 Valencia to win Confidence51% model 42.8% · market 62.7% edge −19.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.50 42.8% 62.7% −19.9% 51% Won

Total points O178.5 1.56 55.2% 50.0% +5.2% 56% Won

Point spread BAS +4.5 1.94 49.9% 50.0% −0.1% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Basket Zaragoza8294

Valencia9795

Total 189 actual 179

Winning margin VAL by 1 actual VAL by 15

Chance to win VAL 53% VAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Basket Zaragoza8294

Valencia9795

Total 189 Margin VAL by 1 Win VAL 53% Actual 179 · VAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Basket Zaragoza large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Valencia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia

Basket Zaragoza Valencia

Last 5 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Basket Zaragoza 2-3

Sep 27: Tenerife 80, Basket Zaragoza 81. Won. Odds: Tenerife 1.32, Basket Zaragoza 3.24.
May 29: Breogan 94, Basket Zaragoza 95. Won. No odds on record.
May 26: Basket Zaragoza 86, Valencia 98. Lost. No odds on record.
May 24: Basket Zaragoza 90, Murcia 100. Lost. No odds on record.
May 16: Manresa 101, Basket Zaragoza 83. Lost. No odds on record.

Valencia 3-2

Oct 2: Lyon-Villeurbanne 92, Valencia 105. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.45, Valencia 1.56.
Sep 29: Valencia 111, Baskonia 88. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.27, Baskonia 3.71.
Sep 27: Valencia 100, Forca Lleida 105. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.11, Forca Lleida 6.12.
Sep 25: Besiktas 94, Valencia 96. Won. Odds: Besiktas 1.75, Valencia 2.08.
Sep 19: Valencia 86, Barcelona 87. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.57, Barcelona 2.30.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BAS moneyline	2.50	moved up 2.52
VAL moneyline	1.47	moved up 1.50
Total points	182.5	moved up 183.5
BAS spread	+5.5	moved down +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Basket Zaragoza host Valencia in the ACB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.