Basket Zaragoza vs Forca Lleida prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin BAS by 8 Win BAS 69% Actual 207 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Basket Zaragoza vs Forca Lleida
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Basket Zaragoza 2, Forca Lleida 0.
- Average total 181.0 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAS by 16 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 ACB Basket Zaragoza 107–91 Forca Lleida 198 pts
- Jan 4, 2026 ACB Forca Lleida 77–87 Basket Zaragoza 164 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Leyma Coruna 71, Basket Zaragoza 92. Won. Odds: Leyma Coruna 2.31, Basket Zaragoza 1.59.
- Oct 4: Basket Zaragoza 82, Valencia 97. Lost. Odds: Basket Zaragoza 2.52, Valencia 1.50.
- Sep 27: Tenerife 80, Basket Zaragoza 81. Won. Odds: Tenerife 1.32, Basket Zaragoza 3.24.
- May 29: Breogan 94, Basket Zaragoza 95. Won. No odds on record.
- May 26: Basket Zaragoza 86, Valencia 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Obradoiro CAB 91, Forca Lleida 89. Lost. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 1.75, Forca Lleida 2.00.
- Oct 4: Forca Lleida 81, San Pablo Burgos 94. Lost. Odds: Forca Lleida 1.34, San Pablo Burgos 3.12.
- Sep 27: Valencia 100, Forca Lleida 105. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.11, Forca Lleida 6.12.
- May 29: Murcia 116, Forca Lleida 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 24: Forca Lleida 88, MoraBanc Andorra 116. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 14.1 — Basket Zaragoza −0.5 per 100 possessions, Forca Lleida −14.6.
- 1-4 in the last five for Forca Lleida.
- 6th vs 17th in the ACB standings.
- Different pace — Basket Zaragoza averaged 73.8 possessions per game, Forca Lleida 83.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.37 | moved down 1.29 |
| FOR moneyline | 2.87 | moved up 3.15 |
| Total points | 181.5 | 181.5 |
| BAS spread | −5.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Basket Zaragoza host Forca Lleida in the ACB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.