Basket Napoli vs Venezia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 181 Margin BAS by 5 Win BAS 64% Actual 180 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Basket Napoli vs Venezia
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Basket Napoli at home, last 5 games · Venezia away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Basket Napoli 0, Venezia 2.
- Average total 172.5 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting VEN by 15 Feb 8, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 8, 2026 Lega A Basket Napoli 64–79 Venezia 143 pts
- Dec 21, 2025 Lega A Venezia 106–96 Basket Napoli 202 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Neptunas 85, Basket Napoli 94. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2.60, Basket Napoli 1.46.
- Oct 25: Tortona 90, Basket Napoli 92. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.72, Basket Napoli 1.98.
- Oct 21: Basket Napoli 105, Tofas 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.23, Tofas 3.90.
- Oct 18: Basket Napoli 82, Olimpia Milano 98. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.70, Olimpia Milano 1.95.
- Oct 14: Slask Wroclaw 82, Basket Napoli 86. Won. Odds: Slask Wroclaw 3.89, Basket Napoli 1.23.
- Oct 28: Tenerife 82, Venezia 80. Lost. Odds: Tenerife 1.18, Venezia 4.40.
- Oct 25: Venezia 89, Treviso 97. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Venezia 1.35, Treviso 2.90.
- Oct 21: Maxima Roma 90, Venezia 79. Lost. Odds: Maxima Roma 1.63, Venezia 2.15.
- Oct 17: BC Roma 98, Venezia 104. Won. Odds: BC Roma 1.65, Venezia 2.08.
- Oct 14: Venezia 75, Turk Telekom 65. Won. Odds: Venezia 1.80, Turk Telekom 1.83.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Basket Napoli coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Venezia coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 10.9 — Basket Napoli +10.3 per 100 possessions, Venezia −0.6.
- 2nd vs 9th in the Lega A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.50 | moved down 1.44 |
| VEN moneyline | 2.35 | moved up 2.55 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved up 177.5 |
| BAS spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Basket Napoli host Venezia in the Lega A on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.