Basket Napoli vs Tofas prediction
Basket Napoli
29
24
20
20
12
Tofas
20
22
24
27
8
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Basket Napoli10588Tofas10182Basket Napoli10588Tofas10182Total 170 Margin BAS by 6 Win BAS 64% Actual 206 · BAS won
Basket Napoli
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tofas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Basket Napoli vs Tofas
Basket Napoli
Tofas
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
Basket Napoli at home, last 5 games · Tofas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Basket Napoli
4-1 - Oct 18: Basket Napoli 82, Olimpia Milano 98. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.70, Olimpia Milano 1.95.
- Oct 14: Slask Wroclaw 82, Basket Napoli 86. Won. Odds: Slask Wroclaw 3.89, Basket Napoli 1.23.
- Oct 11: Cantu 80, Basket Napoli 99. Won. Odds: Cantu 2.73, Basket Napoli 1.43.
- Oct 6: Buducnost 75, Basket Napoli 93. Won. Odds: Buducnost 1.37, Basket Napoli 2.96.
- Oct 3: Basket Napoli 99, Reggiana 93. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.26, Reggiana 3.63.
Tofas
3-2 - Oct 17: Korfez Basket 69, Tofas 71. Won. Odds: Korfez Basket 1.65, Tofas 1.82.
- Oct 14: Tofas 90, Buducnost 85. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.41, Buducnost 2.81.
- Oct 10: Tofas 79, Esenler Erokspor 87. Lost. Odds: Tofas 1.78, Esenler Erokspor 2.00.
- Oct 6: JL Bourg 82, Tofas 89. Won. Odds: JL Bourg 1.45, Tofas 2.60.
- Oct 3: Denizli Basket 101, Tofas 87. Lost. Odds: Denizli Basket 2.23, Tofas 1.63.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Basket Napoli dropped from 1.42 to 1.23 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.2 — Basket Napoli +10.3 per 100 possessions, Tofas +0.1.
- 4-1 in the last five for Basket Napoli.
- 1st vs 3rd in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.42 | moved down 1.23 |
| TOF moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 3.90 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| BAS spread | −4.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basket Napoli |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 |
| 2 |  Chemnitz |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 |
| 3 | Tofas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 |
| 4 |  Buducnost |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 |
| 5 |  Trento |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 |
| 6 |  JL Bourg |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 |
| 7 |  Neptunas |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 |
| 8 |  Slask Wroclaw |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Basket Napoli host Tofas in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.