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Basket Napoli vs Reggiana prediction

Lega A Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start14:30ET Round 2
Basket NapoliHome · 5-1 · 2nd · Moneyline odds up 1.26
991st quarter 232nd quarter 273rd quarter 264th quarter 23
ReggianaAway · 2-4 · 13th · Moneyline odds down 3.63
931st quarter 342nd quarter 153rd quarter 284th quarter 16
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Basket Napoli 23 27 26 23
Reggiana 34 15 28 16
FT PalaBarbuto · ItalyPalaBarbuto · Round 2
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
1 odds up 1.31 64% confidence
Basket Napoli to win edge −15.7%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 odds up 1.31 Basket Napoli to win Confidence64% model 59.4% · market 75.1% edge −15.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds up 1.31 59.4% 75.1% −15.7% 64% Won
Total points O157.5 odds down 1.31 73.3% 71.2% +2.1% 64% Won
Point spread REG +14.5 1.32 70.7% 73.0% −2.3% 81% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Basket Napoli9986
Reggiana9382
Total 168 actual 192
Winning margin BAS by 4 actual BAS by 6
Chance to win BAS 59% BAS won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Basket Napoli9986
Reggiana9382

Total 168 Margin BAS by 4 Win BAS 59% Actual 192 · BAS won

Basket Napoli host Reggiana in the Lega A on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.