Basket Napoli vs Olimpia Milano prediction
Basket Napoli
25
13
23
21
Olimpia Milano
18
24
25
31
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Basket Napoli8293Olimpia Milano9880Basket Napoli8293Olimpia Milano9880Total 173 Margin BAS by 13 Win BAS 86% Actual 180 · OLI won
Basket Napoli
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Olimpia Milano
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Basket Napoli vs Olimpia Milano
Basket Napoli
Olimpia Milano
Last 11 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Basket Napoli at home, last 5 games · Olimpia Milano away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Basket Napoli 0, Olimpia Milano 2.
- Average total 185.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OLI by 28 Apr 19, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 19, 2026 Lega A Olimpia Milano 125–97 Basket Napoli 222 pts
- Jan 12, 2026 Lega A Basket Napoli 71–77 Olimpia Milano 148 pts
Last five games
Basket Napoli
5-0 - Oct 14: Slask Wroclaw 82, Basket Napoli 86. Won. Odds: Slask Wroclaw 3.89, Basket Napoli 1.23.
- Oct 11: Cantu 80, Basket Napoli 99. Won. Odds: Cantu 2.73, Basket Napoli 1.43.
- Oct 6: Buducnost 75, Basket Napoli 93. Won. Odds: Buducnost 1.37, Basket Napoli 2.96.
- Oct 3: Basket Napoli 99, Reggiana 93. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.26, Reggiana 3.63.
- Sep 30: Basket Napoli 84, JL Bourg 76. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.40, JL Bourg 2.85.
Olimpia Milano
1-4 - Oct 15: Olimpia Milano 97, Dubai 101. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.05, Dubai 1.78.
- Oct 13: Olimpia Milano 89, Real Madrid 98. Lost. Odds: Olimpia Milano 2.40, Real Madrid 1.57.
- Oct 11: Olimpia Milano 106, Treviso 77. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.19, Treviso 4.51.
- Oct 8: Maccabi Tel Aviv 97, Olimpia Milano 79. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.45, Olimpia Milano 2.76.
- Oct 5: Verona 75, Olimpia Milano 72. Lost. Odds: Verona 3.67, Olimpia Milano 1.26.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Basket Napoli coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 169.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.4 — Basket Napoli +10.3 per 100 possessions, Olimpia Milano −2.1.
- 1-4 in the last five for Olimpia Milano.
- 2nd vs 6th in the Lega A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.82 | moved down 1.70 |
| OLI moneyline | 1.89 | moved up 1.95 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved up 171.5 |
| BAS spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Bologna |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 |
| 2 | Basket Napoli |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 |
| 3 |  Treviso |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 |
| 4 |  Maxima Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 |
| 5 |  Varese |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 |
| 6 | Olimpia Milano |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 |
| 7 |  Trento |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 |
| 8 |  Verona |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 |
| 9 |  Venezia |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 |
| 10 |  Udine |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 |
| 11 |  Trieste |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 |
| 12 |  BC Roma |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 |
| 13 |  Reggiana |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 |
| 14 |  Tortona |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 |
| 15 |  Scafati |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 |
| 16 |  Cantu |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Basket Napoli host Olimpia Milano in the Lega A on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.