Basket Napoli vs JL Bourg prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 182 Margin BAS by 10 Win BAS 71% Actual 160 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Basket Napoli vs JL Bourg
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
Basket Napoli at home, last 5 games · JL Bourg away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 27: Maxima Roma 75, Basket Napoli 94. Won. Odds: Maxima Roma 1.78, Basket Napoli 1.99.
- May 10: Basket Napoli 98, Udine 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 3: Reggiana 91, Basket Napoli 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Basket Napoli 84, Trento 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Olimpia Milano 125, Basket Napoli 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Saint Quentin 106, JL Bourg 103. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Saint Quentin 4.78, JL Bourg 1.17.
- May 27: JL Bourg 103, Monaco 114. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Monaco 81, JL Bourg 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: JL Bourg 91, Strasbourg 71. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: JL Bourg 95, Gravelines-Dunkerque 78. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for JL Bourg coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Basket Napoli dropped from 1.62 to 1.40 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 169.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.3 — Basket Napoli +10.3 per 100 possessions, JL Bourg −3.0.
- 1st vs 6th in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.40 |
| BOU moneyline | 2.18 | moved up 2.85 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| BAS spread | −3.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Basket Napoli host JL Bourg in the EuroCup on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.