Barcelona vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Friday, October 9, 2026Fri, Oct 9 Start14:30ET Round 4

BarcelonaHome · 6-3 · 8th · 1.76

8118232416

Zalgiris KaunasAway · 5-4 · 10th · 2.07

8823161633

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Barcelona 18 23 24 16

Zalgiris Kaunas 23 16 16 33

FT Palau BlaugranaPalau Blaugrana · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.82 51%

Barcelona to win edge −9.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.82 Barcelona to win Confidence51% model 46.4% · market 56.2% edge −9.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.82 46.4% 56.2% −9.8% 51% Lost

Total points O170.5 1.61 59.8% 49.7% +10.1% 60% Lost

Point spread ZAL +2.5 1.79 40.9% 49.7% −8.8% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Barcelona8193

Zalgiris Kaunas8890

Total 183 actual 169

Winning margin BAR by 3 actual ZAL by 7

Chance to win BAR 56% ZAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Barcelona8193

Zalgiris Kaunas8890

Total 183 Margin BAR by 3 Win BAR 56% Actual 169 · ZAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Barcelona large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Zalgiris Kaunas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Barcelona vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Barcelona Zalgiris Kaunas

Last 17 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Barcelona 3-2

Oct 4: Murcia 100, Barcelona 94. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.92, Barcelona 1.85.
Oct 2: Besiktas 82, Barcelona 95. Won. Odds: Besiktas 1.78, Barcelona 2.05.
Sep 29: Dubai 94, Barcelona 87. Lost. Odds: Dubai 1.34, Barcelona 3.20.
Sep 26: Barcelona 119, Leyma Coruna 101. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.10, Leyma Coruna 6.34.
Sep 24: Barcelona 89, Anadolu Efes 82. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.90, Anadolu Efes 1.90.

Zalgiris Kaunas 3-2

Oct 4: Zalgiris Kaunas 97, Lietkabelis 68. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.06, Lietkabelis 6.47.
Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Lost. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
Sep 29: Zalgiris Kaunas 91, Olympiacos 93. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2.11, Olympiacos 1.73.
Sep 27: Zalgiris Kaunas 101, Siauliai 82. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.04, Siauliai 7.50.
Sep 24: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 77, Zalgiris Kaunas 83. Won. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.67, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.15.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BAR moneyline	1.64	moved up 1.76
ZAL moneyline	2.15	moved down 2.07
Total points	170.5	moved up 174.5
BAR spread	−2.5	moved up −1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Barcelona host Zalgiris Kaunas in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.