Barcelona vs Valencia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 189 Margin BAR by 1 Win BAR 54% Actual 192 · BAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Barcelona vs Valencia
Last 17 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Barcelona at home, last 8 games · Valencia away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Barcelona 2, Valencia 3.
- Average total 177.0 points per meeting
- Over 181.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAR by 3 Oct 11, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 11, 2026 ACB Barcelona 89–86 Valencia 175 pts
- Sep 19, 2026 Supercopa ACB Valencia 86–87 Barcelona 173 pts
- Jun 24, 2026 ACB Barcelona 84–108 Valencia 192 pts
- Jun 22, 2026 ACB Barcelona 80–88 Valencia 168 pts
- Jun 20, 2026 ACB Valencia 102–75 Barcelona 177 pts
Last five games
- Oct 27: Bayern 84, Barcelona 88. Won. Odds: Bayern 1.86, Barcelona 1.79.
- Oct 24: Barcelona 99, Basket Zaragoza 81. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.13, Basket Zaragoza 5.00.
- Oct 22: Olimpia Milano 81, Barcelona 89. Won. Odds: Olimpia Milano 1.67, Barcelona 2.05.
- Oct 18: Joventut Badalona 116, Barcelona 86. Lost. Odds: Joventut Badalona 1.79, Barcelona 1.86.
- Oct 16: Barcelona 100, Olympiacos 105. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 2.50, Olympiacos 1.46.
- Oct 27: Valencia 86, Fenerbahce 78. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.79, Fenerbahce 1.86.
- Oct 25: Valencia 84, Baskonia 75. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.10, Baskonia 6.00.
- Oct 23: Paris 93, Valencia 104. Won. Odds: Paris 2.50, Valencia 1.46.
- Oct 18: Valencia 116, Murcia 93. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.20, Murcia 4.00.
- Oct 15: Valencia 88, Maccabi Tel Aviv 91. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.31, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3.38.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Valencia coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Barcelona coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 9.5 — Barcelona +1.5 per 100 possessions, Valencia +11.0.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Valencia.
- 177.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 181.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAR moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.62 |
| VAL moneyline | 1.98 | moved up 2.15 |
| Total points | 182.5 | moved down 181.5 |
| BAR spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Barcelona host Valencia in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.