Barcelona vs Olympiacos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 181 Margin OLY by 3 Win OLY 60% Actual 205 · OLY won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Barcelona vs Olympiacos
Last 17 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Barcelona at home, last 8 games · Olympiacos away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Barcelona 1, Olympiacos 1.
- Average total 172.5 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OLY by 12 Jan 29, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 29, 2026 EuroLeague Olympiacos 87–75 Barcelona 162 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 EuroLeague Barcelona 98–85 Olympiacos 183 pts
Last five games
- Oct 13: Barcelona 90, Maccabi Tel Aviv 87. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.41, Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.90.
- Oct 11: Barcelona 89, Valencia 86. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.65, Valencia 2.07.
- Oct 9: Barcelona 81, Zalgiris Kaunas 88. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.76, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.07.
- Oct 4: Murcia 100, Barcelona 94. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.92, Barcelona 1.85.
- Oct 2: Besiktas 82, Barcelona 95. Won. Odds: Besiktas 1.78, Barcelona 2.05.
- Oct 13: Valencia 97, Olympiacos 102. After overtime. Won. Odds: Valencia 2.05, Olympiacos 1.65.
- Oct 11: Olympiacos 99, Kolossos Rhodes 83. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.02, Kolossos Rhodes 11.30.
- Oct 9: Olympiacos 89, Anadolu Efes 66. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.16, Anadolu Efes 5.30.
- Oct 4: Iraklis 68, Olympiacos 78. Won. Odds: Iraklis 8.00, Olympiacos 1.06.
- Oct 1: Virtus Bologna 96, Olympiacos 94. Lost. Odds: Virtus Bologna 4.50, Olympiacos 1.20.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Olympiacos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Olympiacos dropped from 1.64 to 1.46 since they were first published.
- 5-1 away for Olympiacos this season.
- Over/under moved up from 174.5 to 176.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.1 — Barcelona +1.5 per 100 possessions, Olympiacos +16.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAR moneyline | 2.32 | moved up 2.50 |
| OLY moneyline | 1.64 | moved down 1.46 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 176.5 |
| BAR spread | +3.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Barcelona host Olympiacos in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.