Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs San Miguel Beermen prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
San Miguel BeermenBarangay Ginebra San MiguelSan Miguel BeermenTotal Margin Win
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs San Miguel Beermen
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
San Miguel Beermen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 4, San Miguel Beermen 1.
- Average total 218.0 points per meeting
- Over 210.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BGS by 27 Oct 30, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 30, 2026 Governors Cup San Miguel Beermen 99–126 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 225 pts
- Oct 27, 2026 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 104–95 San Miguel Beermen 199 pts
- Oct 20, 2024 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 102–99 San Miguel Beermen 201 pts
- Oct 18, 2024 Governors Cup San Miguel Beermen 92–121 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 213 pts
- Oct 16, 2024 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 121–131 San Miguel Beermen 252 pts
Last five games
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
4-1 - Oct 30: San Miguel Beermen 99, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 126. Won. Odds: San Miguel Beermen 1.28, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.85.
- Oct 27: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 104, San Miguel Beermen 95. Won. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.30, San Miguel Beermen 1.44.
- Oct 23: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 101, Blackwater Bossing 96. Won. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.28, Blackwater Bossing 3.35.
- Oct 18: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 89. Won. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.04, Phoenix Fuelmasters 8.70.
- Oct 11: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93. Lost. Odds: Magnolia Hotshots 2.17, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.64.
San Miguel Beermen
2-3 - Oct 30: San Miguel Beermen 99, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 126. Lost. Odds: San Miguel Beermen 1.28, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.85.
- Oct 27: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 104, San Miguel Beermen 95. Lost. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.30, San Miguel Beermen 1.44.
- Oct 21: San Miguel Beermen 135, NLEX Road Warriors 133. Won. Odds: San Miguel Beermen 1.55, NLEX Road Warriors 2.30.
- Oct 14: Terrafirma Dyip 105, San Miguel Beermen 135. Won. Odds: Terrafirma Dyip 4.35, San Miguel Beermen 1.08.
- Oct 10: TNT Tropang 5G 116, San Miguel Beermen 98. Lost. Odds: TNT Tropang 5G 2.00, San Miguel Beermen 1.52.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Barangay Ginebra San Miguel dropped from 2.20 to 1.90 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel.
- −13.7 points away — San Miguel Beermen averaged 125.7 at home and 112.0 away this season.
- 218.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 210.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BGS moneyline | 2.20 | moved down 1.90 |
| SMB moneyline | 1.55 | moved up 1.75 |
| Total points | 210.5 | 210.5 |
| BGS spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 |  Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NLEX Road Warriors |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1422 | 1226 | +196 |
| 2 | San Miguel Beermen |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1456 | 1303 | +153 |
| 3 |  Converge FiberXers |
12 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 1469 | 1336 | +133 |
| 4 |  TNT Tropang 5G |
12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 1296 | 1190 | +106 |
| 5 |  Terrafirma Dyip |
12 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1332 | 1341 | −9 |
| 6 |  Macau Black Bears |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1246 | 1561 | −315 |
| 7 |  Titan Ultra Giant Risers |
12 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 1284 | 1548 | −264 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel host San Miguel Beermen in the Governors Cup on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.