Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters prediction
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
40
33
33
23
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
19
27
29
36
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel12996Rain or Shine Elasto Painters111100Barangay Ginebra San Miguel12996Rain or Shine Elasto Painters111100Total 196 Margin ROS by 4 Win ROS 56% Actual 240 · BGS won
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 2.
- Average total 190.7 points per meeting
- Over 201.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ROS by 11 Jul 26, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 26, 2026 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 99–110 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 209 pts
- Sep 13, 2024 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 124–102 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 226 pts
- Aug 24, 2024 Governors Cup Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 73–64 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 137 pts
Last five games
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2-3 - Aug 14: Meralco Bolts 97, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 2: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 73, Magnolia Hotshots 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 31: Meralco Bolts 75, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 26: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 99, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 110. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 24: Blackwater Bossing 85, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 115. Won. No odds on record.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
4-1 - Aug 2: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 85, Meralco Bolts 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 31: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 98, Magnolia Hotshots 97. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 26: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 99, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 110. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 21: Phoenix Fuelmasters 98, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 105. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 18: Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 114, Meralco Bolts 122. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Rain or Shine Elasto Painters dropped from 1.78 to 1.42 since they were first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters.
- 190.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 201.5.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the Governors Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BGS moneyline | 1.84 | moved up 2.65 |
| ROS moneyline | 1.78 | moved down 1.42 |
| Total points | 201.5 | 201.5 |
| BGS spread | +1.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 | Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 |  Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel host Rain or Shine Elasto Painters in the Governors Cup on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.