Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Phoenix Fuelmasters prediction
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
36
29
21
20
Phoenix Fuelmasters
28
17
15
29
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel10699Phoenix Fuelmasters8997Barangay Ginebra San Miguel10699Phoenix Fuelmasters8997Total 196 Margin BGS by 2 Win BGS 55% Actual 195 · BGS won
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Phoenix Fuelmasters
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
Phoenix Fuelmasters
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2, Phoenix Fuelmasters 1.
- Average total 192.7 points per meeting
- Over 201.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PHO by 3 Jul 19, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 19, 2026 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 78–81 Phoenix Fuelmasters 159 pts
- Sep 18, 2024 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 112–96 Phoenix Fuelmasters 208 pts
- Sep 6, 2024 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 110–101 Phoenix Fuelmasters 211 pts
Last five games
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2-3 - Oct 11: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93. Lost. Odds: Magnolia Hotshots 2.17, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.64.
- Oct 9: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 129, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 111. Won. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.65, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 1.42.
- Aug 14: Meralco Bolts 97, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 2: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 73, Magnolia Hotshots 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 31: Meralco Bolts 75, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 84. Won. No odds on record.
Phoenix Fuelmasters
2-3 - Oct 16: Phoenix Fuelmasters 105, Meralco Bolts 101. Won. Odds: Phoenix Fuelmasters 2.39, Meralco Bolts 1.51.
- Aug 12: Magnolia Hotshots 115, Phoenix Fuelmasters 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 5: Blackwater Bossing 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jul 28: Phoenix Fuelmasters 102, Blackwater Bossing 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 21: Phoenix Fuelmasters 98, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 105. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Barangay Ginebra San Miguel dropped from 1.47 to 1.04 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel, 1 for Phoenix Fuelmasters.
- Over/under moved up from 194.5 to 201.5 since it was first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel.
- −10.9 points away — Phoenix Fuelmasters averaged 103.8 at home and 92.9 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BGS moneyline | 1.47 | moved down 1.04 |
| PHO moneyline | 2.07 | moved up 8.70 |
| Total points | 194.5 | moved up 201.5 |
| BGS spread | −3.5 | moved down −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 | Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 |  Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel host Phoenix Fuelmasters in the Governors Cup on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.