Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Blackwater Bossing prediction
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
33
30
24
14
Blackwater Bossing
19
28
25
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel101108Blackwater Bossing9699Barangay Ginebra San Miguel101108Blackwater Bossing9699Total 207 Margin BGS by 9 Win BGS 69% Actual 197 · BGS won
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Blackwater Bossing
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
Blackwater Bossing
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2, Blackwater Bossing 1.
- Average total 197.7 points per meeting
- Over 207.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BGS by 30 Jul 24, 2026
Meetings
- Jul 24, 2026 Governors Cup Blackwater Bossing 85–115 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 200 pts
- Sep 10, 2024 Governors Cup Blackwater Bossing 98–112 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 210 pts
- Aug 30, 2024 Governors Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 88–95 Blackwater Bossing 183 pts
Last five games
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2-3 - Oct 18: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 89. Won. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.04, Phoenix Fuelmasters 8.70.
- Oct 11: Magnolia Hotshots 112, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93. Lost. Odds: Magnolia Hotshots 2.17, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 1.64.
- Oct 9: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 129, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 111. Won. Odds: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 2.65, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 1.42.
- Aug 14: Meralco Bolts 97, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 2: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 73, Magnolia Hotshots 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Blackwater Bossing
1-4 - Oct 17: Blackwater Bossing 123, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 125. Lost. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 4.30, Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 1.08.
- Oct 13: Meralco Bolts 120, Blackwater Bossing 115. Lost. Odds: Meralco Bolts 1.21, Blackwater Bossing 4.07.
- Oct 9: Blackwater Bossing 101, Magnolia Hotshots 107. Lost. Odds: Blackwater Bossing 3.40, Magnolia Hotshots 1.27.
- Aug 5: Blackwater Bossing 106, Phoenix Fuelmasters 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 28: Phoenix Fuelmasters 102, Blackwater Bossing 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Nothing at stake: the standings are already decided for Blackwater Bossing.
- 3-game losing streak for Blackwater Bossing coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Blackwater Bossing dropped from 4.55 to 3.35 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 212.5 to 207.5 since it was first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BGS moneyline | 1.16 | moved up 1.28 |
| BLA moneyline | 4.55 | moved down 3.35 |
| Total points | 212.5 | moved down 207.5 |
| BGS spread | −10.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Governors Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnolia Hotshots |
10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1010 | 942 | +68 |
| 2 |  Rain or Shine Elasto Painters |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 1092 | 1092 | 0 |
| 3 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 966 | 944 | +22 |
| 4 |  Phoenix Fuelmasters |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 975 | 1020 | −45 |
| 5 |  Meralco Bolts |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 997 | 1020 | −23 |
| 6 | Blackwater Bossing |
10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1053 | 1075 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel host Blackwater Bossing in the Governors Cup on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.