Balkan vs CSKA Sofia prediction
Balkan
35
17
21
21
CSKA Sofia
14
19
20
12
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Balkan9485CSKA Sofia6577Balkan9485CSKA Sofia6577Total 162 Margin BAL by 8 Win BAL 71% Actual 159 · BAL won
Balkan vs CSKA Sofia
Balkan
CSKA Sofia
Last five games
Balkan
2-3 - Oct 27: Balkan 65, Manresa 76. Lost. Odds: Balkan 5.00, Manresa 1.14.
- Oct 23: Yambol 73, Balkan 84. Won. Odds: Yambol 7.50, Balkan 1.02.
- Oct 20: Balkan 57, Lietkabelis 64. Lost. Odds: Balkan 2.35, Lietkabelis 1.54.
- Oct 16: Balkan 101, Levski 83. Won. Odds: Balkan 1.01, Levski 10.80.
- Oct 13: BC Roma 77, Balkan 72. Lost. Odds: BC Roma –, Balkan 20.20.
CSKA Sofia
1-2 - Oct 24: CSKA Sofia 62, Cherno More 95. Lost. Odds: CSKA Sofia 5.00, Cherno More 1.09.
- Oct 17: Rilski Sportist 114, CSKA Sofia 76. Lost. Odds: Rilski Sportist 1.01, CSKA Sofia 9.80.
- Oct 10: CSKA Sofia 100, Polytechnica 95. Won. Odds: CSKA Sofia 1.26, Polytechnica 3.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for CSKA Sofia, 2 for Balkan.
- Over/under moved down from 172.5 to 168.5 since it was first published.
- 1st vs 10th in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAL moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| CSK moneyline | 8.00 | moved up 9.80 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 168.5 |
| BAL spread | −24.5 | moved down −29.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balkan |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 287 | +83 |
| 2 |  Cherno More |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 349 | 279 | +70 |
| 3 |  Rilski Sportist |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 368 | 305 | +63 |
| 4 |  Botev Academic |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 359 | 320 | +39 |
| 5 |  Lok. Plovdiv |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 356 | 321 | +35 |
| 6 |  Spartak Pleven |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 341 | 307 | +34 |
| 7 |  Minyor |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 329 | 298 | +31 |
| 8 |  Beroe |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 384 | 356 | +28 |
| 9 |  Shumen |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 278 | 292 | −14 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 303 | 398 | −95 |
| 11 |  Levski |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 309 | 375 | −66 |
| 12 |  Polytechnica |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 289 | 388 | −99 |
| 13 |  Botev 2012 |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 263 | −40 |
| 14 |  Yambol |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 198 | 267 | −69 |
- Playoffs
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Balkan host CSKA Sofia in the NBL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.