Balkan vs Cherno More prediction
Balkan
22
24
20
28
Cherno More
10
23
19
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Balkan9492Cherno More7178Balkan9492Cherno More7178Total 170 Margin BAL by 14 Win BAL 78% Actual 165 · BAL won
Balkan
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Cherno More
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Balkan vs Cherno More
Balkan
Cherno More
Last 10 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Balkan at home, last 6 games · Cherno More away, last 20
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Balkan 4, Cherno More 1.
- Average total 158.4 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAL by 18 May 14, 2026
Meetings
- May 14, 2026 NBL Cherno More 59–77 Balkan 136 pts
- May 11, 2026 NBL Balkan 80–78 Cherno More 158 pts
- May 9, 2026 NBL Balkan 91–89 Cherno More 180 pts
- Apr 6, 2026 NBL Balkan 80–79 Cherno More 159 pts
- Jan 26, 2026 NBL Cherno More 93–66 Balkan 159 pts
Last five games
Balkan
2-3 - Sep 30: Ulm 98, Balkan 84. Lost. Odds: Ulm 1.13, Balkan 5.76.
- Jun 5: Balkan 81, Lok. Plovdiv 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Lok. Plovdiv 84, Balkan 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 30: Lok. Plovdiv 82, Balkan 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 27: Balkan 94, Lok. Plovdiv 89. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Cherno More
0-5 - May 25: Cherno More 94, Rilski Sportist 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Rilski Sportist 108, Cherno More 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 14: Cherno More 59, Balkan 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 11: Balkan 80, Cherno More 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Balkan 91, Cherno More 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Cherno More coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Balkan dropped from 1.57 to 1.16 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 169.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.9 — Balkan +2.0 per 100 possessions, Cherno More +8.9.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Balkan.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAL moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.16 |
| CHE moneyline | 2.25 | moved up 4.57 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved down 167.5 |
| BAL spread | −10.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Balkan host Cherno More in the Super Cup on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.