Balikesir vs Kipas Istiklal Prediction & Odds

TBL Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start09:30ET Round 3

BalikesirHome · 2-7 · 14th · 2.52

691323825

Kipas IstiklalAway · 7-2 · 1st · 1.46

7923181622

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Balikesir 13 23 8 25

Kipas Istiklal 23 18 16 22

FT Kurtdereli Spor Salonu · TurkeyKurtdereli Spor Salonu · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.46 68%

Kipas Istiklal to win edge −3.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.46 Kipas Istiklal to win Confidence68% model 59.0% · market 62.2% edge −3.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.46 59.0% 62.2% −3.2% 68% Won

Total points O156.5 1.98 61.5% 46.6% +14.9% 73% Lost

Point spread BAL +3.5 1.91 52.6% 48.5% +4.1% 56% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Balikesir6984

Kipas Istiklal7986

Total 170 actual 148

Winning margin KIP by 2 actual KIP by 10

Chance to win KIP 59% KIP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Balikesir6984

Kipas Istiklal7986

Total 170 Margin KIP by 2 Win KIP 59% Actual 148 · KIP won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Balikesir large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Kipas Istiklal

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Balikesir vs Kipas Istiklal

Balikesir Kipas Istiklal

Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Balikesir 1-4

Sep 20: Darussafaka 67, Balikesir 65. Lost. Odds: Darussafaka 2.10, Balikesir 1.62.
Sep 13: Balikesir 69, Fenerbahce 2 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Balikesir 83, OGM Ormanspor 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 13: Fenerbahce 2 91, Balikesir 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 9: Balikesir 76, Bordo Sportif 68. Won. No odds on record.

Kipas Istiklal 2-3

Sep 19: Kipas Istiklal 83, Ankara Kolejliler 72. Won. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.60, Ankara Kolejliler 2.15.
Sep 12: Goztepe 73, Kipas Istiklal 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 6: Gaziantep 90, Kipas Istiklal 78. Lost. No odds on record.
May 3: Kipas Istiklal 64, Gaziantep 74. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 30: Gaziantep 77, Kipas Istiklal 82. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
BAL moneyline	2.15	moved up 2.52
KIP moneyline	1.55	moved down 1.46
Total points	156.5	156.5
BAL spread · regulation	+3.5	moved up +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

TBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Kipas Istiklal	9	7	2	16	749	670	+79
2	Mersin SK	8	8	0	16	725	597	+128
3	Yalova Harem Spor	9	7	2	16	724	605	+119
4	Goztepe	8	7	1	15	687	618	+69
5	Final Spor	9	5	4	14	721	714	+7
6	Gaziantep	8	5	3	13	629	613	+16
7	CO Basket	9	4	5	13	670	736	−66
8	Buyukcekmece	8	4	4	12	643	631	+12
9	OGM Ormanspor	8	4	4	12	674	664	+10
10	Darussafaka	9	3	6	12	684	751	−67
11	iLab Basketbol	8	4	4	12	680	690	−10
12	Ankara Kolejliler	9	3	6	12	682	730	−48
13	Fenerbahce 2	8	3	5	11	583	630	−47
14	Balikesir	9	2	7	11	659	705	−46
15	MKE Ankaragucu	8	3	5	11	635	726	−91
16	Konya BBSK	8	2	6	10	648	671	−23
17	Kecioren Baglum	9	1	8	10	745	787	−42

Super Lig
Playoffs
Play-in
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Balikesir host Kipas Istiklal in the TBL on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.