Balikesir vs Kecioren Baglum prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin BAL by 2 Win BAL 56% Actual 186 · BAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Balikesir vs Kecioren Baglum
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Balikesir at home, last 4 games · Kecioren Baglum away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 7: Goztepe 78, Balikesir 67. Lost. Odds: Goztepe 1.13, Balikesir 4.90.
- Oct 3: Ankara Kolejliler 85, Balikesir 91. Won. Odds: Ankara Kolejliler 1.28, Balikesir 3.25.
- Sep 27: Balikesir 69, Kipas Istiklal 79. Lost. Odds: Balikesir 2.52, Kipas Istiklal 1.46.
- Sep 20: Darussafaka 67, Balikesir 65. Lost. Odds: Darussafaka 2.10, Balikesir 1.62.
- Sep 13: Balikesir 69, Fenerbahce 2 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 7: Kecioren Baglum 90, Ankara Kolejliler 95. Lost. Odds: Kecioren Baglum 2.02, Ankara Kolejliler 1.67.
- Oct 3: Kipas Istiklal 85, Kecioren Baglum 72. Lost. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.22, Kecioren Baglum 3.70.
- Sep 26: Kecioren Baglum 83, Darussafaka 91. Lost. Odds: Kecioren Baglum 1.26, Darussafaka 3.40.
- Sep 20: Fenerbahce 2 86, Kecioren Baglum 84. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 2 1.60, Kecioren Baglum 2.15.
- Sep 12: Kecioren Baglum 82, Gaziantep 68. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Kecioren Baglum coming into this game.
- +9.0 points at home — Balikesir averaged 77.8 at home and 68.8 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Balikesir.
- 14th vs 17th in the TBL standings.
- Different pace — Balikesir averaged 65.0 possessions per game, Kecioren Baglum 75.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAL moneyline | 1.57 | moved up 1.60 |
| KEC moneyline | 2.22 | moved down 2.15 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| BAL spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
TBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 749 | 670 | +79 | |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 725 | 597 | +128 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 724 | 605 | +119 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 687 | 618 | +69 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 721 | 714 | +7 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 629 | 613 | +16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 670 | 736 | −66 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 643 | 631 | +12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 674 | 664 | +10 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 684 | 751 | −67 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 680 | 690 | −10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 682 | 730 | −48 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 583 | 630 | −47 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 659 | 705 | −46 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 635 | 726 | −91 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 671 | −23 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 745 | 787 | −42 |
- Super Lig
- Playoffs
- Play-in
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Balikesir host Kecioren Baglum in the TBL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.