Bakken Bears vs BMS Herlev prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 175 Margin BAK by 25 Win BAK 89% Actual 172 · BAK won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Bakken Bears vs BMS Herlev
Last 13 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Bakken Bears at home, last 7 games · BMS Herlev away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Bakken Bears 2, BMS Herlev 0.
- Average total 168.5 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAK by 47 Jan 20, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 20, 2026 Basketligaen Bakken Bears 99–52 BMS Herlev 151 pts
- Jan 16, 2026 Basketligaen BMS Herlev 66–120 Bakken Bears 186 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Bakken Bears 91, Absheron Lions 88. After overtime. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.04, Absheron Lions 8.00.
- Oct 18: Vaerlose 82, Bakken Bears 123. Won. Odds: Vaerlose 11.00, Bakken Bears 1.01.
- Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
- Oct 10: Bakken Bears 103, Randers 86. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Randers 4.15.
- Oct 7: Bakken Bears 81, Benfica 91. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.97, Benfica 1.78.
- Oct 18: Randers 93, BMS Herlev 71. Lost. Odds: Randers 1.01, BMS Herlev 11.00.
- Oct 10: BMS Herlev 55, Team FOG Naestved 117. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 15.10, Team FOG Naestved –.
- Oct 1: Holbaek-Stenhus 80, BMS Herlev 77. Lost. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.39, BMS Herlev 2.57.
- Sep 26: BMS Herlev 95, Vejen 106. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 2.60, Vejen 1.37.
- Sep 23: BMS Herlev 70, Gladsaxe 102. Lost. Odds: BMS Herlev 1.67, Gladsaxe 2.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for BMS Herlev coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Bakken Bears coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for BMS Herlev, 2 for Bakken Bears.
- Net rating difference of 44.0 — Bakken Bears +19.3 per 100 possessions, BMS Herlev −24.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAK moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| HER moneyline | 9.20 | 9.20 |
| Total points | 177.5 | 177.5 |
| BAK spread | −40.5 | −40.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bakken Bears host BMS Herlev in the Basketligaen on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
