Bakken Bears vs Benfica prediction
Bakken Bears
16
20
14
31
Benfica
19
19
27
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 52%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bakken Bears8187Benfica9187Bakken Bears8187Benfica9187Total 174 Win BEN 51% Actual 172 · BEN won
Bakken Bears
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Benfica
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Bakken Bears vs Benfica
Bakken Bears
Benfica
Last 13 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Bakken Bears at home, last 7 games · Benfica away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Bakken Bears
4-1 - Sep 30: Bakken Bears 112, Gladsaxe 75. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears –, Gladsaxe 15.10.
- Sep 27: Bears Academy 84, Bakken Bears 108. Won. Odds: Bears Academy 15.10, Bakken Bears –.
- Sep 24: Bakken Bears 83, Horsens 64. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Horsens 5.60.
- Sep 18: Salon Vilpas 90, Bakken Bears 72. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 2.60, Bakken Bears 1.45.
- Sep 16: Bakken Bears 89, Zwolle 78. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.40, Zwolle 2.76.
Benfica
2-3 - Oct 3: Benfica 84, Sporting CP 71. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.10, Sporting CP 5.20.
- Sep 17: Benfica 88, Vechta 98. Lost. Odds: Benfica 2.84, Vechta 1.40.
- Sep 15: Benfica 87, Geneva Lions 78. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.14, Geneva Lions 5.05.
- Jun 14: FC Porto 75, Benfica 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 12: FC Porto 87, Benfica 63. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Bakken Bears coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Benfica dropped from 2.04 to 1.78 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Bakken Bears, 3 for Benfica.
- Net rating difference of 9.0 — Bakken Bears +19.3 per 100 possessions, Benfica +10.3.
- 2nd vs 1st in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAK moneyline | 1.74 | moved up 1.97 |
| BEN moneyline | 2.04 | moved down 1.78 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| BAK spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 | Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 |  Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 |  BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 |  Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bakken Bears host Benfica in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.