Bakken Bears vs Absheron Lions prediction
Bakken Bears
17
15
30
19
10
Absheron Lions
19
18
22
22
7
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Bakken Bears9197Absheron Lions8881Bakken Bears9197Absheron Lions8881Total 178 Margin BAK by 16 Win BAK 82% Actual 179 · BAK won
Bakken Bears
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Absheron Lions
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Bakken Bears vs Absheron Lions
Bakken Bears
Absheron Lions
Last 13 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Bakken Bears
4-1 - Oct 18: Vaerlose 82, Bakken Bears 123. Won. Odds: Vaerlose 11.00, Bakken Bears 1.01.
- Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
- Oct 10: Bakken Bears 103, Randers 86. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.09, Randers 4.15.
- Oct 7: Bakken Bears 81, Benfica 91. Lost. Odds: Bakken Bears 1.97, Benfica 1.78.
- Sep 30: Bakken Bears 112, Gladsaxe 75. Won. Odds: Bakken Bears –, Gladsaxe 15.10.
Absheron Lions
1-4 - Oct 13: BC Prievidza 108, Absheron Lions 84. Lost. Odds: BC Prievidza 1.06, Absheron Lions 4.60.
- Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Lost. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.
- Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 12, 2025: Trefl Sopot 98, Absheron Lions 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Bakken Bears coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Absheron Lions coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Absheron Lions, 2 for Bakken Bears.
- Net rating difference of 33.2 — Bakken Bears +19.3 per 100 possessions, Absheron Lions −13.9.
- 2nd vs 6th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAK moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.04 |
| ABS moneyline | 7.50 | moved up 8.00 |
| Total points | 178.5 | moved up 179.5 |
| BAK spread | −16.5 | moved down −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 | Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 |  Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 |  BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 | Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Bakken Bears host Absheron Lions in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.