Baden vs Fribourg prediction
Baden
14
22
19
21
Fribourg
20
19
17
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Baden7661Fribourg7077Baden7661Fribourg7077Total 138 Margin FRI by 16 Win FRI 80% Actual 146 · BAD won
Baden
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Fribourg
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Baden vs Fribourg
Baden
Fribourg
Last 6 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Baden 0, Fribourg 3.
- Average total 160.3 points per meeting
- Over 151.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FRI by 6 Feb 8, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 8, 2026 SB League Women Fribourg 88–82 Baden 170 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 SB League Women Baden 77–82 Fribourg 159 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 SB League Women Fribourg 86–66 Baden 152 pts
Last five games
Baden
3-2 - Sep 29: Alte Kanti Aarau 56, Baden 75. Won. Odds: Alte Kanti Aarau 9.50, Baden 1.02.
- Apr 3: Baden 76, Nyon 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Nyon 90, Baden 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Baden 79, BBC Troistorrents 67. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 22: Pully 50, Baden 85. Won. No odds on record.
Fribourg
2-3 - Sep 27: Fribourg 86, Zurich 60. Won. Odds: Fribourg 1.05, Zurich 7.25.
- Apr 22: Nyon 89, Fribourg 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Fribourg 81, Nyon 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Fribourg 70, Nyon 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: BBC Troistorrents 78, Fribourg 91. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Fribourg, 2 for Baden.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Fribourg.
- Net rating difference of 20.9 — Baden +28.9 per 100 possessions, Fribourg +8.0.
- 160.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 151.5.
- 2nd vs 3rd in the SB League Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAD moneyline | 2.45 | moved up 2.54 |
| FRI moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.44 |
| Total points | 151.5 | 151.5 |
| BAD spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nyon |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 619 | 472 | +147 |
| 2 | Baden |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 624 | 453 | +171 |
| 3 | Fribourg |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 515 | 423 | +92 |
| 4 |  Geneve |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 516 | 429 | +87 |
| 5 |  GC Zurich |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 498 | 570 | −72 |
| 6 |  Helios VS |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 561 | 609 | −48 |
| 7 |  BBC Troistorrents |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 402 | 482 | −80 |
| 8 |  Alte Kanti Aarau |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 362 | 423 | −61 |
| 9 |  Pully |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 335 | 571 | −236 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Baden host Fribourg in the SB League Women on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.