Badajoz vs Ponferrada prediction
Badajoz
13
11
27
27
Ponferrada
33
17
21
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Badajoz7875Ponferrada8483Badajoz7875Ponferrada8483Total 158 Margin PON by 8 Win PON 71% Actual 162 · PON won
Badajoz vs Ponferrada
Badajoz
Ponferrada
Last five games
Badajoz
1-2 - Oct 17: CBC Valladolid 106, Badajoz 59. Lost. Odds: CBC Valladolid 1.10, Badajoz 5.85.
- Oct 10: Badajoz 89, Jaen Paraiso 85. Won. Odds: Badajoz 2.00, Jaen Paraiso 1.70.
- Oct 3: Algeciras 87, Badajoz 69. Lost. Odds: Algeciras 1.55, Badajoz 2.25.
Ponferrada
2-3 - Oct 17: Ponferrada 83, CB Getafe 60. Won. Odds: Ponferrada 1.33, CB Getafe 3.05.
- Oct 11: Melilla 82, Ponferrada 69. Lost. Odds: Melilla 1.10, Ponferrada 5.50.
- Oct 3: Ponferrada 94, Spanish Basketball Academy 86. Won. Odds: Ponferrada 2.10, Spanish Basketball Academy 1.60.
- May 3: Albacete 80, Ponferrada 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Ponferrada 73, Albacete 74. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 14th vs 5th in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAD moneyline | 4.35 | moved down 3.60 |
| PON moneyline | 1.16 | moved up 1.22 |
| Total points | 155.5 | 155.5 |
| BAD spread | +11.5 | moved down +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 |
| 2 |  Caceres |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 |  Toledo |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 |
| 5 | Ponferrada |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 |
| 6 |  Moron |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 |
| 7 |  Leonesa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 |
| 8 |  Jaen Paraiso |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 |
| 9 |  Algeciras |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 |
| 10 |  Tres Cantos |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 |
| 11 |  CB Getafe |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Spanish Basketball Academy |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 |
| 13 |  Estudiantes B |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 |
| 14 | Badajoz |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Badajoz host Ponferrada in the Segunda FEB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.