Avellino Basket vs Pesaro Prediction & Odds

Serie A2 Sunday, November 1, 2026Sun, Nov 1 Start12:00ET Round 7

Avellino BasketHome · 5-1 · 2nd · 1.42

7922261615

PesaroAway · 5-1 · 3rd · 2.70

7019181320

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Avellino Basket 22 26 16 15

Pesaro 19 18 13 20

FT Palasport Del Mauro · ItalyPalasport Del Mauro · Round 7

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

PES +12.5 1.28 66%

Pesaro +12.5 on the spread edge −15.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won PES +12.5 1.28 Pesaro +12.5 on the spread Confidence66% model 57.7% · market 73.0% edge −15.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.42 54.1% 64.7% −10.6% 59% Won

Total points U167.5 1.39 63.2% 66.2% −3.0% 76% Won

Point spread PES +12.5 1.28 57.7% 73.0% −15.3% 66% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Avellino Basket7981

Pesaro7078

Total 159 actual 149

Winning margin AVE by 3 actual AVE by 9

Chance to win AVE 61% AVE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Avellino Basket7981

Pesaro7078

Total 159 Margin AVE by 3 Win AVE 61% Actual 149 · AVE won

Last five games

Avellino Basket 4-1

Oct 25: Brindisi 83, Avellino Basket 70. Lost. Odds: Brindisi 1.68, Avellino Basket 2.05.
Oct 21: Avellino Basket 85, Montecatini 74. Won. Odds: Avellino Basket 1.04, Montecatini 9.00.
Oct 17: Cividale 62, Avellino Basket 77. Won. Odds: Cividale 1.80, Avellino Basket 1.90.
Oct 11: Avellino Basket 94, Forli 81. Won. Odds: Avellino Basket 1.34, Forli 3.00.
Oct 4: Rimini 72, Avellino Basket 73. Won. Odds: Rimini 1.55, Avellino Basket 2.30.

Pesaro 4-1

Oct 25: Pesaro 71, Basket Torino 73. Lost. Odds: Pesaro 1.38, Basket Torino 2.80.
Oct 21: Pesaro 76, Cividale 68. Won. Odds: Pesaro 1.36, Cividale 3.00.
Oct 18: Ruvo Di Puglia 76, Pesaro 86. Won. Odds: Ruvo Di Puglia 2.55, Pesaro 1.48.
Oct 11: Pesaro 83, Caserta 77. Won. Odds: Pesaro 1.24, Caserta 3.65.
Oct 4: Pesaro 87, JuVi Cremona 84. Won. Odds: Pesaro 1.16, JuVi Cremona 4.55.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
AVE moneyline	1.39	moved up 1.42
PES moneyline	2.55	moved up 2.70
Total points	159.5	159.5
AVE spread	−5.5	−5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Serie A2 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	12	490	402	+88
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	11	486	441	+45
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	11	499	459	+40
4	Rimini	7	5	2	12	578	497	+81
5	Basket Torino	5	4	1	9	375	367	+8
6	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	10	488	464	+24
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	10	452	459	−7
8	Brindisi	7	4	3	11	536	513	+23
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	9	469	419	+50
10	Forli	6	3	3	9	500	477	+23
11	Sassari	6	3	3	9	437	456	−19
12	Cividale	7	3	4	10	495	521	−26
13	Caserta	5	2	3	7	404	406	−2
14	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	8	475	506	−31
15	Vigevano	6	2	4	8	463	512	−49
16	Mestre	7	3	4	10	511	534	−23
17	Cento	7	2	5	9	515	585	−70
18	Montecatini	6	1	5	7	432	505	−73
19	Urania Milano	7	1	6	8	530	572	−42
20	JuVi Cremona	6	0	6	6	449	489	−40

Lega A
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in: Final
Play-in: Semi-finals
Play Out
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Avellino Basket host Pesaro in the Serie A2 on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions