Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Atlanta Hawks
35
26
37
25
Memphis Grizzlies
32
49
29
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 89%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Atlanta Hawks123122Memphis Grizzlies132109Atlanta Hawks123122Memphis Grizzlies132109Total 231 Margin ATL by 13 Win ATL 77% Actual 255 · MEM won
Atlanta Hawks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Memphis Grizzlies
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks
Memphis Grizzlies
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Atlanta Hawks 3, Memphis Grizzlies 0.
- Average total 245.7 points per meeting
- Over 232.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ATL by 39 Mar 23, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 23, 2026 NBA Atlanta Hawks 146–107 Memphis Grizzlies 253 pts
- Jan 21, 2026 NBA Memphis Grizzlies 122–124 Atlanta Hawks 246 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 NBA Memphis Grizzlies 116–122 Atlanta Hawks 238 pts
Last five games
Atlanta Hawks
2-3 - Apr 30: Atlanta Hawks 89, New York Knicks 140. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: New York Knicks 126, Atlanta Hawks 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Atlanta Hawks 98, New York Knicks 114. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Atlanta Hawks 109, New York Knicks 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: New York Knicks 106, Atlanta Hawks 107. Won. No odds on record.
Memphis Grizzlies
0-5 - Apr 12: Houston Rockets 132, Memphis Grizzlies 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Utah Jazz 147, Memphis Grizzlies 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Denver Nuggets 136, Memphis Grizzlies 119. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 6: Memphis Grizzlies 126, Cleveland Cavaliers 142. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Milwaukee Bucks 131, Memphis Grizzlies 115. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Memphis Grizzlies coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Atlanta Hawks coming into this game.
- 5-0 away for Memphis Grizzlies this season.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Atlanta Hawks.
- Net rating difference of 15.1 — Atlanta Hawks −0.1 per 100 possessions, Memphis Grizzlies +15.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATL moneyline | 1.53 | moved up 1.65 |
| MEM moneyline | 2.45 | moved down 2.30 |
| Total points | 232.5 | 232.5 |
| ATL spread | −4.5 | moved up −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Celtics |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 |
| 2 | Atlanta Hawks |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 |
| 3 |  Brooklyn Nets |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 |
| 4 |  Orlando Magic |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 |
| 5 |  Detroit Pistons |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 |
| 6 |  Chicago Bulls |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 |
| 7 |  Miami Heat |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 |
| 8 |  Washington Wizards |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 |
| 9 |  Toronto Raptors |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 |
| 10 |  Milwaukee Bucks |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 |
| 11 |  Cleveland Cavaliers |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 |
| 12 |  Indiana Pacers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 |
| 13 |  Philadelphia 76ers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 |
| 14 |  Charlotte Hornets |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atlanta Hawks host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Monday, October 5, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.