Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 226 Margin ATL by 2 Win ATL 57% Actual 225 · ATL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Atlanta Hawks 2, Cleveland Cavaliers 2.
- Average total 235.8 points per meeting
- Over 237.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ATL by 22 Apr 10, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 10, 2026 NBA Atlanta Hawks 124–102 Cleveland Cavaliers 226 pts
- Apr 8, 2026 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 122–116 Atlanta Hawks 238 pts
- Nov 28, 2025 NBA Atlanta Hawks 130–123 Cleveland Cavaliers 253 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 117–109 Atlanta Hawks 226 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Atlanta Hawks 117, Miami Heat 129. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.68, Miami Heat 2.23.
- Oct 26: Houston Rockets 120, Atlanta Hawks 110. Lost. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.52, Atlanta Hawks 2.62.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Hawks 114, Houston Rockets 121. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.90, Houston Rockets 1.92.
- Oct 23: Charlotte Hornets 81, Atlanta Hawks 128. Won. Odds: Charlotte Hornets 2.15, Atlanta Hawks 1.74.
- Oct 21: Orlando Magic 125, Atlanta Hawks 132. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.75, Atlanta Hawks 2.14.
- Oct 28: Cleveland Cavaliers 121, Washington Wizards 111. Won. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.26, Washington Wizards 4.10.
- Oct 26: Cleveland Cavaliers 127, Minnesota Timberwolves 125. After overtime. Won. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.65, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.28.
- Oct 24: Cleveland Cavaliers 125, Brooklyn Nets 121. Won. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.20, Brooklyn Nets 4.75.
- Oct 22: Philadelphia 76ers 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 106. Lost. Odds: Philadelphia 76ers 1.72, Cleveland Cavaliers 2.18.
- Oct 13: Orlando Magic 132, Cleveland Cavaliers 116. Lost. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.98, Cleveland Cavaliers 1.78.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Atlanta Hawks coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Cleveland Cavaliers coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 239.5 to 237.5 since it was first published.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 235.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 237.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATL moneyline | 1.91 | moved down 1.85 |
| CLE moneyline | 1.91 | moved up 1.99 |
| Total points | 239.5 | moved down 237.5 |
| ATL spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atlanta Hawks host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.