Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty prediction
Atlanta Dream
26
30
19
13
13
New York Liberty
26
28
20
14
10
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Atlanta Dream10190New York Liberty9890Atlanta Dream10190New York Liberty9890Total 180 Win ATL 52% Actual 199 · ATL won
Atlanta Dream
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction New York Liberty
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream
New York Liberty
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Atlanta Dream at home, last 28 games · New York Liberty away, last 24
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Atlanta Dream 4, New York Liberty 1.
- Average total 172.6 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ATL by 2 Oct 9, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 9, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 83–85 Atlanta Dream 168 pts
- Oct 4, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 92–82 New York Liberty 174 pts
- Sep 23, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 65–83 Atlanta Dream 148 pts
- Sep 21, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 84–95 Atlanta Dream 179 pts
- Jun 11, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 90–104 New York Liberty 194 pts
Last five games
Atlanta Dream
5-0 - Oct 4: Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.52, New York Liberty 2.46.
- Sep 30: Washington Mystics 75, Atlanta Dream 93. Won. Odds: Washington Mystics 2.30, Atlanta Dream 1.65.
- Sep 27: Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 2.55, Atlanta Dream 1.50.
- Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
New York Liberty
2-3 - Oct 4: Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.52, New York Liberty 2.46.
- Sep 29: New York Liberty 87, Minnesota Lynx 71. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 2.35, Minnesota Lynx 1.57.
- Sep 23: New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 2.55, Atlanta Dream 1.50.
- Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Sep 20: Toronto Tempo 69, New York Liberty 106. Won. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.06, New York Liberty 1.11.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for Atlanta Dream coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — Atlanta Dream +9.8 per 100 possessions, New York Liberty +3.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Atlanta Dream.
- 172.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 170.5.
- 1st vs 4th in the WNBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATL moneyline | 1.70 | moved up 1.80 |
| NYL moneyline | 2.20 | moved down 2.05 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| ATL spread | −3.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 2 |  Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 3 |  Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 4 | New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 6 |  Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 7 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atlanta Dream host New York Liberty in the WNBA on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.