Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 156 Margin ATL by 4 Win ATL 59% Actual 149 · ATL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Atlanta Dream at home, last 28 games · Golden State Valkyries away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Atlanta Dream 2, Golden State Valkyries 3.
- Average total 138.2 points per meeting
- Over 147.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 5 Oct 31, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 31, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 68–63 Atlanta Dream 131 pts
- Oct 26, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 64–55 Atlanta Dream 119 pts
- Oct 24, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 62–67 Golden State Valkyries 129 pts
- Oct 21, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 97–71 Golden State Valkyries 168 pts
- Oct 19, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 65–79 Atlanta Dream 144 pts
Last five games
- Oct 26: Golden State Valkyries 64, Atlanta Dream 55. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.95, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Dream 62, Golden State Valkyries 67. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.42, Golden State Valkyries 2.75.
- Oct 21: Atlanta Dream 97, Golden State Valkyries 71. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.50, Golden State Valkyries 2.32.
- Oct 19: Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.73, Atlanta Dream 2.05.
- Oct 17: Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.64, Atlanta Dream 2.12.
- Oct 26: Golden State Valkyries 64, Atlanta Dream 55. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.95, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Dream 62, Golden State Valkyries 67. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.42, Golden State Valkyries 2.75.
- Oct 21: Atlanta Dream 97, Golden State Valkyries 71. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.50, Golden State Valkyries 2.32.
- Oct 19: Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.73, Atlanta Dream 2.05.
- Oct 17: Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.64, Atlanta Dream 2.12.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Golden State Valkyries.
- 138.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 147.5.
- 4th vs 2nd in the WNBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATL moneyline | 1.55 | moved down 1.46 |
| GSV moneyline | 2.35 | moved up 2.59 |
| Total points | 147.5 | 147.5 |
| ATL spread | −3.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 | |
| 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 | |
| 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 | |
| 7 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 8 | 44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 | |
| 9 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 10 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 | |
| 11 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 12 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 13 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 | |
| 14 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 | |
| 15 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
- Playoffs
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atlanta Dream host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.