Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin ATL by 8 Win ATL 70% Actual 129 · GSV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Atlanta Dream at home, last 28 games · Golden State Valkyries away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Atlanta Dream 3, Golden State Valkyries 2.
- Average total 142.2 points per meeting
- Over 153.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GSV by 5 Oct 31, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 31, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 68–63 Atlanta Dream 131 pts
- Oct 29, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 80–69 Golden State Valkyries 149 pts
- Oct 26, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 64–55 Atlanta Dream 119 pts
- Oct 21, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 97–71 Golden State Valkyries 168 pts
- Oct 19, 2026 WNBA Golden State Valkyries 65–79 Atlanta Dream 144 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Atlanta Dream 97, Golden State Valkyries 71. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.50, Golden State Valkyries 2.32.
- Oct 19: Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.73, Atlanta Dream 2.05.
- Oct 17: Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.64, Atlanta Dream 2.12.
- Oct 9: New York Liberty 83, Atlanta Dream 85. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 1.52, Atlanta Dream 2.55.
- Oct 7: Atlanta Dream 101, New York Liberty 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.80, New York Liberty 2.05.
- Oct 21: Atlanta Dream 97, Golden State Valkyries 71. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.50, Golden State Valkyries 2.32.
- Oct 19: Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.73, Atlanta Dream 2.05.
- Oct 17: Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.64, Atlanta Dream 2.12.
- Oct 9: Las Vegas Aces 77, Golden State Valkyries 87. After overtime. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.45, Golden State Valkyries 2.80.
- Oct 7: Golden State Valkyries 83, Las Vegas Aces 81. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.70, Las Vegas Aces 2.11.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Atlanta Dream.
- 4-1 in the last five for Atlanta Dream.
- 142.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 153.5.
- 4th vs 2nd in the WNBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATL moneyline | 1.51 | moved down 1.42 |
| GSV moneyline | 2.45 | moved up 2.75 |
| Total points | 153.5 | 153.5 |
| ATL spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 | |
| 2 | 44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 | |
| 3 | 44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 | |
| 4 | 44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 | |
| 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 | |
| 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 | |
| 7 | 44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 | |
| 8 | 44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 | |
| 9 | 44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 | |
| 10 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 | |
| 11 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 | |
| 12 | 44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 | |
| 13 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 | |
| 14 | 44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 | |
| 15 | 44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
- Playoffs
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atlanta Dream host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.