Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction & Odds — Oct 21

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WNBA Wednesday, October 21, 2026Wed, Oct 21 Start20:00ET Final

Atlanta DreamHome · 30-14 · 4th · 1.50

9723232526

Golden State ValkyriesAway · 32-12 · 2nd · 2.32

7115251714

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Atlanta Dream 23 23 25 26

Golden State Valkyries 15 25 17 14

FT Gateway Center Arena · USAGateway Center Arena · Final

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

GSV +11.5 1.24 74%

Golden State Valkyries +11.5 on the spread edge −9.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost GSV +11.5 1.24 Golden State Valkyries +11.5 on the spread Confidence74% model 62.2% · market 72.1% edge −9.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.50 59.0% 58.9% +0.1% 68% Won

Total points O141.5 1.32 87.3% 71.1% +16.2% 85% Won

Point spread GSV +11.5 1.24 62.2% 72.1% −9.9% 74% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Atlanta Dream9784

Golden State Valkyries7181

Total 165 actual 168

Winning margin ATL by 3 actual ATL by 26

Chance to win ATL 59% ATL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Atlanta Dream9784

Golden State Valkyries7181

Total 165 Margin ATL by 3 Win ATL 59% Actual 168 · ATL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Atlanta Dream large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Golden State Valkyries

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries

Atlanta Dream Golden State Valkyries

Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Atlanta Dream 4-1

Oct 19: Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.73, Atlanta Dream 2.05.
Oct 17: Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.64, Atlanta Dream 2.12.
Oct 9: New York Liberty 83, Atlanta Dream 85. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 1.52, Atlanta Dream 2.55.
Oct 7: Atlanta Dream 101, New York Liberty 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.80, New York Liberty 2.05.
Oct 4: Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.52, New York Liberty 2.46.

Golden State Valkyries 4-1

Oct 19: Golden State Valkyries 65, Atlanta Dream 79. Lost. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.73, Atlanta Dream 2.05.
Oct 17: Golden State Valkyries 68, Atlanta Dream 64. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.64, Atlanta Dream 2.12.
Oct 9: Las Vegas Aces 77, Golden State Valkyries 87. After overtime. Won. Odds: Las Vegas Aces 1.45, Golden State Valkyries 2.80.
Oct 7: Golden State Valkyries 83, Las Vegas Aces 81. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.70, Las Vegas Aces 2.11.
Oct 4: Golden State Valkyries 71, Las Vegas Aces 60. Won. Odds: Golden State Valkyries 1.80, Las Vegas Aces 1.90.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ATL moneyline	1.65	moved down 1.50
GSV moneyline	2.10	moved up 2.32
Total points	150.5	moved up 153.5
ATL spread	−2.5	moved down −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WNBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minnesota Lynx	44	33	11	.750	3997	3681	+316
2	Golden State Valkyries	44	32	12	.727	3615	3306	+309
3	Las Vegas Aces	44	31	13	.705	4025	3776	+249
4	Atlanta Dream	44	30	14	.682	4019	3717	+302
5	Washington Mystics	44	28	16	.636	3696	3640	+56
6	Indiana Fever	44	28	16	.636	4222	3979	+243
7	Dallas Wings	44	27	17	.614	3933	3751	+182
8	New York Liberty	44	26	18	.591	3941	3802	+139
9	Portland Fire	44	17	27	.386	3794	4005	−211
10	Chicago Sky	44	16	28	.364	3818	3989	−171
11	Los Angeles Sparks	44	16	28	.364	3830	4018	−188
12	Phoenix Mercury	44	16	28	.364	3712	3854	−142
13	Connecticut Sun	44	11	33	.250	3470	3875	−405
14	Toronto Tempo	44	11	33	.250	3770	4152	−382
15	Seattle Storm	44	8	36	.182	3616	3913	−297

Playoffs

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Atlanta Dream host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.