Atenas vs Nacional prediction
Atenas
23
18
11
25
Nacional
24
25
24
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Atenas7782Nacional9086Atenas7782Nacional9086Total 168 Margin NAC by 4 Win NAC 62% Actual 167 · NAC won
Atenas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Nacional
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Atenas vs Nacional
Atenas
Nacional
Last 6 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Atenas
2-3 - Oct 20: Malvin 77, Atenas 66. Lost. Odds: Malvin 1.06, Atenas 5.80.
- Oct 12: Atenas 91, Ferro 86. Won. Odds: Atenas 1.36, Ferro 2.97.
- Oct 7: Olimpico 87, Atenas 91. Won. Odds: Olimpico 2.09, Atenas 1.69.
- Oct 5: Quimsa 83, Atenas 77. Lost. Odds: Quimsa 1.20, Atenas 4.20.
- May 12: Argentino 88, Atenas 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Nacional
1-4 - Oct 20: Nacional 81, Aguada 83. Lost. Odds: Nacional 1.44, Aguada 2.40.
- May 28: Aguada 92, Nacional 91. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Nacional 74, Aguada 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Aguada 89, Nacional 109. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: Nacional 83, Aguada 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Nacional, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Nacional coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 19.4 — Atenas −10.6 per 100 possessions, Nacional +8.8.
- 5th vs 9th in the Liga Uruguaya standings.
- Different pace — Atenas averaged 76.1 possessions per game, Nacional 84.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATE moneyline | 6.33 | moved up 6.50 |
| NAC moneyline | 1.06 | moved down 1.04 |
| Total points | 169.5 | 169.5 |
| ATE spread | +15.5 | moved up +16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Uruguaya standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bigua |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 374 | 333 | +41 |
| 2 |  Goes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 347 | +28 |
| 3 |  Malvin |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 308 | 335 | −27 |
| 4 |  Aguada |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 308 | 292 | +16 |
| 5 | Atenas |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 282 | 324 | −42 |
| 6 |  Union Atletica |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 323 | −10 |
| 7 |  Urunday |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 337 | 341 | −4 |
| 8 |  Penarol |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 192 | 155 | +37 |
| 9 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 281 | 284 | −3 |
| 10 |  Hebraica y Macabi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 253 | −9 |
| 11 |  Defensor |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 153 | +12 |
| 12 |  Larranaga |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 314 | 353 | −39 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atenas host Nacional in the Liga Uruguaya on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.