Atenas vs Ferro prediction
Atenas
16
24
24
27
Ferro
20
28
18
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Atenas9183Ferro8679Atenas9183Ferro8679Total 162 Margin ATE by 4 Win ATE 60% Actual 177 · ATE won
Atenas
Ferro
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Atenas vs Ferro
Atenas
Ferro
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Atenas 0, Ferro 2.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FER by 14 Feb 7, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 7, 2026 Liga A Ferro 93–79 Atenas 172 pts
- Nov 17, 2025 Liga A Atenas 76–78 Ferro 154 pts
Last five games
Atenas
1-4 - Oct 7: Olimpico 87, Atenas 91. Won. Odds: Olimpico 2.09, Atenas 1.69.
- Oct 5: Quimsa 83, Atenas 77. Lost. Odds: Quimsa 1.20, Atenas 4.20.
- May 12: Argentino 88, Atenas 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Argentino 61, Atenas 53. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Atenas 78, Argentino 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Ferro
2-3 - Oct 10: Instituto de Cordoba 97, Ferro 94. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Instituto de Cordoba 1.37, Ferro 2.32.
- Oct 8: Independiente de Oliva 92, Ferro 97. Won. Odds: Independiente de Oliva 1.76, Ferro 1.94.
- Sep 30: Argentino 79, Ferro 68. Lost. Odds: Argentino 3.10, Ferro 1.30.
- Jun 2: Gimnasia 88, Ferro 54. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 30: Ferro 81, Gimnasia 73. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Atenas dropped from 1.78 to 1.36 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Atenas, 2 for Ferro.
- 1-4 away for Ferro this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Atenas.
- 3rd vs 13th in the Liga A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATE moneyline | 1.78 | moved down 1.36 |
| FER moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 2.97 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
| ATE spread | −1.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quimsa |
6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 506 | 443 | +63 |
| 2 |  Penarol |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 406 | 373 | +33 |
| 3 | Atenas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 434 | 419 | +15 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 610 | 583 | +27 |
| 5 |  Olimpico |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 443 | 419 | +24 |
| 6 |  Argentino |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 403 | 394 | +9 |
| 7 |  Instituto de Cordoba |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 373 | 371 | +2 |
| 8 |  Boca Juniors |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 529 | 510 | +19 |
| 9 |  Platense |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 482 | 482 | 0 |
| 10 |  Independiente de Oliva |
2 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 200 | 190 | +10 |
| 11 |  Racing de Chivilcoy |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 576 | 590 | −14 |
| 12 |  Lanus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 606 | 632 | −26 |
| 13 | Ferro |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 492 | 513 | −21 |
| 14 |  La Union |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 244 | 252 | −8 |
| 15 |  Regatas |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 313 | −14 |
| 16 |  San Lorenzo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 305 | 323 | −18 |
| 17 |  Obera TC |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 367 | 406 | −39 |
| 18 |  San Martin |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 509 | 571 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Atenas host Ferro in the Liga A on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.