Astros vs Mineros prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin AST by 4 Win AST 61% Actual 178 · AST won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Astros vs Mineros
Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Astros at home, last 17 games · Mineros away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Astros 3, Mineros 2.
- Average total 171.2 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting AST by 9 Oct 22, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 22, 2026 LNBP Mineros 72–81 Astros 153 pts
- Oct 19, 2026 LNBP Astros 86–83 Mineros 169 pts
- Aug 16, 2026 LNBP Mineros 89–83 Astros 172 pts
- Aug 15, 2026 LNBP Mineros 94–88 Astros 182 pts
- Sep 19, 2025 LNBP Mineros 83–97 Astros 180 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Astros 86, Gambusinos 71. Won. Odds: Astros 1.19, Gambusinos 4.15.
- Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Won. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
- Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Won. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.
- Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
- Sep 27: Diablos Rojos 67, Astros 86. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.10, Astros 1.62.
- Oct 15: Diablos Rojos 78, Mineros 98. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.00, Mineros 1.72.
- Oct 12: Mineros 97, Diablos Rojos 86. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.34, Diablos Rojos 3.00.
- Oct 11: Mineros 92, Diablos Rojos 98. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Diablos Rojos 2.50.
- Oct 7: Mineros 82, Santos 93. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.28, Santos 3.35.
- Oct 6: Mineros 96, Santos 75. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.36, Santos 2.80.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Astros coming into this game.
- 14-4 at home for Astros this season.
- Net rating difference of 10.4 — Astros +11.3 per 100 possessions, Mineros +0.9.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Astros.
- −6.3 points away — Mineros averaged 89.4 at home and 83.1 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| AST moneyline | 1.28 | moved down 1.22 |
| MIN moneyline | 3.40 | moved down 2.95 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved down 167.5 |
| AST spread | −7.5 | −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Astros host Mineros in the LNBP on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.