Astros vs Gambusinos Prediction & Odds — Oct 7

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LNBP Wednesday, October 7, 2026Wed, Oct 7 Start22:00ET

AstrosHome · 20-8 · 2nd · 1.19

8618222323

GambusinosAway · 11-17 · 10th · 4.15

7118211121

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Astros 18 22 23 23

Gambusinos 18 21 11 21

FT Arena Astros · MexicoArena Astros

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

GAM +17.5 1.36 82%

Gambusinos +17.5 on the spread edge +1.5%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won GAM +17.5 1.36 Gambusinos +17.5 on the spread Confidence82% model 73.2% · market 71.7% edge +1.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.19 56.7% 81.4% −24.7% 60% Won

Total points O158.5 1.38 75.5% 65.4% +10.1% 65% Lost

Point spread GAM +17.5 1.36 73.2% 71.7% +1.5% 82% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros8687

Gambusinos7184

Total 171 actual 157

Winning margin AST by 3 actual AST by 15

Chance to win AST 57% AST won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros8687

Gambusinos7184

Total 171 Margin AST by 3 Win AST 57% Actual 157 · AST won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Astros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Gambusinos

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Astros vs Gambusinos

Astros Gambusinos

Last 30 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Astros 4-1

Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Won. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Won. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.
Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
Sep 27: Diablos Rojos 67, Astros 86. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.10, Astros 1.62.
Sep 26: Diablos Rojos 77, Astros 101. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.82, Astros 1.88.

Gambusinos 2-3

Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Oct 2: El Calor de Cancun 74, Gambusinos 67. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 1.83, Gambusinos 1.85.
Oct 1: El Calor de Cancun 82, Gambusinos 71. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 1.75, Gambusinos 1.98.
Sep 26: Gambusinos 102, Correcaminos 83. Won. Odds: Gambusinos 1.25, Correcaminos 3.40.
Sep 25: Gambusinos 103, Correcaminos 90. Won. Odds: Gambusinos 1.29, Correcaminos 3.30.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
AST moneyline	1.17	moved up 1.19
GAM moneyline	4.50	moved down 4.15
Total points	164.5	moved up 166.5
AST spread	−10.5	−10.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Astros host Gambusinos in the LNBP on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.