Astros vs Fuerza Regia Prediction & Odds — Oct 29

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LNBP Thursday, October 29, 2026Thu, Oct 29 Start22:15ET Semi-finals

AstrosHome · 20-8 · 2nd · 1.53

9618282525

Fuerza RegiaAway · 19-9 · 3rd · 2.35

8925172225

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Astros 18 28 25 25

Fuerza Regia 25 17 22 25

FT Arena Astros · MexicoArena Astros · Semi-finals

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

AST +6.5 1.34 83%

Astros +6.5 on the spread edge −4.8%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won AST +6.5 1.34 Astros +6.5 on the spread Confidence83% model 66.5% · market 71.3% edge −4.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.53 56.7% 53.9% +2.8% 64% Won

Total points O166.5 1.47 77.1% 64.9% +12.2% 65% Won

Point spread AST +6.5 1.34 66.5% 71.3% −4.8% 83% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros9692

Fuerza Regia8989

Total 181 actual 185

Winning margin AST by 3 actual AST by 7

Chance to win AST 57% AST won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros9692

Fuerza Regia8989

Total 181 Margin AST by 3 Win AST 57% Actual 185 · AST won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Astros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fuerza Regia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Astros vs Fuerza Regia

Astros Fuerza Regia

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Astros 5-0

Oct 22: Mineros 72, Astros 81. Won. Odds: Mineros 2.18, Astros 1.53.
Oct 19: Astros 86, Mineros 83. Won. Odds: Astros 1.30, Mineros 2.85.
Oct 18: Astros 100, Mineros 78. Won. Odds: Astros 1.22, Mineros 2.95.
Oct 7: Astros 86, Gambusinos 71. Won. Odds: Astros 1.19, Gambusinos 4.15.
Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Won. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.

Fuerza Regia 4-1

Oct 23: Dorados 97, Fuerza Regia 106. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 22: Dorados 120, Fuerza Regia 116. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Dorados 2.18, Fuerza Regia 1.53.
Oct 19: Fuerza Regia 80, Dorados 76. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.40, Dorados 2.50.
Oct 18: Fuerza Regia 101, Dorados 90. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.38, Dorados 2.60.
Oct 7: Soles 75, Fuerza Regia 92. Won. Odds: Soles 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.10.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
AST moneyline	1.64	moved down 1.53
FUE moneyline	1.97	moved up 2.35
Total points	172.5	moved down 171.5
AST spread	−2.5	moved down −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Astros host Fuerza Regia in the LNBP on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.