Astros vs Fuerza Regia Prediction & Odds — Oct 3

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LNBP Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start20:15ET

AstrosHome · 20-8 · 2nd · 1.45

10125301729

Fuerza RegiaAway · 19-9 · 3rd · 2.57

8723241921

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Astros 25 30 17 29

Fuerza Regia 23 24 19 21

FT Arena Astros · MexicoArena Astros

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

FUE +11.5 1.27 71%

Fuerza Regia +11.5 on the spread edge −10.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost FUE +11.5 1.27 Fuerza Regia +11.5 on the spread Confidence71% model 63.3% · market 73.4% edge −10.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.45 54.5% 62.0% −7.5% 57% Won

Total points O163.5 1.64 65.7% 66.3% −0.6% 60% Won

Point spread FUE +11.5 1.27 63.3% 73.4% −10.1% 71% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros10186

Fuerza Regia8785

Total 171 actual 188

Winning margin AST by 1 actual AST by 14

Chance to win AST 55% AST won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros10186

Fuerza Regia8785

Total 171 Margin AST by 1 Win AST 55% Actual 188 · AST won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Astros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fuerza Regia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Astros vs Fuerza Regia

Astros Fuerza Regia

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Astros 3-2

Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
Sep 27: Diablos Rojos 67, Astros 86. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.10, Astros 1.62.
Sep 26: Diablos Rojos 77, Astros 101. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.82, Astros 1.88.
Sep 20: Astros 77, Dorados 79. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.15, Dorados 4.75.
Sep 19: Astros 87, Dorados 80. After overtime. Won. Odds: Astros 1.28, Dorados 3.30.

Fuerza Regia 5-0

Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Won. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
Sep 26: Fuerza Regia 95, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.16, El Calor de Cancun 4.33.
Sep 25: Fuerza Regia 82, El Calor de Cancun 74. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.15, El Calor de Cancun 4.70.
Sep 21: Correcaminos 52, Fuerza Regia 93. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.15, Fuerza Regia 1.31.
Sep 20: Correcaminos 83, Fuerza Regia 94. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.70, Fuerza Regia 1.23.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
AST moneyline	1.50	moved down 1.45
FUE moneyline	2.45	moved up 2.57
Total points	170.5	moved down 166.5
AST spread	−3.5	moved down −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Astros host Fuerza Regia in the LNBP on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.