Astros vs Fuerza Regia Prediction & Odds — Oct 2

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LNBP Friday, October 2, 2026Fri, Oct 2 Start22:15ET

AstrosHome · 20-8 · 2nd · 1.65

7419201619

Fuerza RegiaAway · 19-9 · 3rd · 2.12

7722152119

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Astros 19 20 16 19

Fuerza Regia 22 15 21 19

FT Arena Astros · MexicoArena Astros

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 1.80 63%

Astros to win edge −4.0%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.80 Astros to win Confidence63% model 58.0% · market 62.0% edge −4.0%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.80 58.0% 62.0% −4.0% 63% Lost

Total points O160.5 1.45 82.1% 64.4% +17.7% 64% Lost

Point spread AST +4.5 1.35 68.6% 70.9% −2.3% 79% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros7491

Fuerza Regia7787

Total 178 actual 151

Winning margin AST by 4 actual FUE by 3

Chance to win AST 58% FUE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Astros7491

Fuerza Regia7787

Total 178 Margin AST by 4 Win AST 58% Actual 151 · FUE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Astros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Fuerza Regia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Astros vs Fuerza Regia

Astros Fuerza Regia

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Astros 4-1

Sep 27: Diablos Rojos 67, Astros 86. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.10, Astros 1.62.
Sep 26: Diablos Rojos 77, Astros 101. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.82, Astros 1.88.
Sep 20: Astros 77, Dorados 79. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.15, Dorados 4.75.
Sep 19: Astros 87, Dorados 80. After overtime. Won. Odds: Astros 1.28, Dorados 3.30.
Sep 17: Panteras 83, Astros 98. Won. Odds: Panteras 2.62, Astros 1.44.

Fuerza Regia 5-0

Sep 26: Fuerza Regia 95, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.16, El Calor de Cancun 4.33.
Sep 25: Fuerza Regia 82, El Calor de Cancun 74. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.15, El Calor de Cancun 4.70.
Sep 21: Correcaminos 52, Fuerza Regia 93. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.15, Fuerza Regia 1.31.
Sep 20: Correcaminos 83, Fuerza Regia 94. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.70, Fuerza Regia 1.23.
Sep 16: Fuerza Regia 87, Mineros 84. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.46, Mineros 2.50.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
AST moneyline	1.47	moved up 1.65
FUE moneyline	2.50	moved down 2.12
Total points	166.5	166.5
AST spread	−2.5	−2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Astros host Fuerza Regia in the LNBP on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.