Aris vs Tortona prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 171 Margin ARI by 11 Win ARI 74% Actual 156 · ARI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Aris vs Tortona
Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Aris at home, last 6 games · Tortona away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 10: Aris 88, AEK Athens 58. Won. Odds: Aris 1.25, AEK Athens 3.30.
- Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Won. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
- Oct 3: AS Karditsas 74, Aris 68. Lost. Odds: AS Karditsas 5.20, Aris 1.15.
- Sep 29: Le Mans 74, Aris 87. Won. Odds: Le Mans 3.30, Aris 1.30.
- May 25: AEK Athens 102, Aris 99. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Reggiana 93, Tortona 86. Lost. Odds: Reggiana 1.85, Tortona 1.92.
- Oct 7: Tortona 89, Le Mans 83. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.48, Le Mans 2.59.
- Oct 4: BC Roma 108, Tortona 70. Lost. Odds: BC Roma 1.77, Tortona 2.00.
- Sep 30: Rigas Zelli 86, Tortona 84. Lost. Odds: Rigas Zelli 4.04, Tortona 1.22.
- Sep 27: Tortona 101, Verona 93. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.16, Verona 5.01.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Aris dropped from 1.23 to 1.08 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.7 — Aris +19.6 per 100 possessions, Tortona −8.1.
- 1st vs 3rd in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ARI moneyline | 1.23 | moved down 1.08 |
| TOR moneyline | 3.70 | moved up 7.17 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| ARI spread | −8.5 | moved down −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 456 | 374 | +82 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 444 | 368 | +76 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 416 | 419 | −3 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 404 | 421 | −17 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 406 | 402 | +4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 399 | 427 | −28 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 458 | −66 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 363 | 411 | −48 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Aris host Tortona in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.