Aris vs Panathinaikos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 161 Margin ARI by 3 Win ARI 61% Actual 192 · ARI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Aris vs Panathinaikos
Last 10 and 15 games with full stats · all competitions
Aris at home, last 6 games · Panathinaikos away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Aris 1, Panathinaikos 1.
- Average total 178.0 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ARI by 7 Feb 1, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 1, 2026 Basket League Aris 102–95 OT Panathinaikos 197 pts · OT
- Nov 16, 2025 Basket League Panathinaikos 82–77 Aris 159 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Aris 78, Cedevita Olimpija 73. Won. Odds: Aris 1.04, Cedevita Olimpija 9.00.
- Oct 24: Mykonos 72, Aris 88. Won. Odds: Mykonos 3.55, Aris 1.24.
- Oct 20: Rostock 79, Aris 110. Won. Odds: Rostock 3.70, Aris 1.21.
- Oct 17: Aris 74, Maroussi 57. Won. Odds: Aris 1.04, Maroussi 7.40.
- Oct 14: Aris 88, Tortona 68. Won. Odds: Aris 1.08, Tortona 7.17.
- Oct 30: Anadolu Efes 83, Panathinaikos 68. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 3.10, Panathinaikos 1.32.
- Oct 27: Panathinaikos 80, Olimpia Milano 75. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.10, Olimpia Milano 6.25.
- Oct 24: Panathinaikos 78, AS Karditsas 64. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.01, AS Karditsas 10.00.
- Oct 22: Panathinaikos 85, Baskonia 79. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.02, Baskonia 12.00.
- Oct 18: Panathinaikos 95, Peristeri 75. Won. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.02, Peristeri 10.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Aris coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Aris dropped from 3.10 to 2.50 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Aris, 1 for Panathinaikos.
- Over/under moved down from 167.5 to 159.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.2 — Aris +19.6 per 100 possessions, Panathinaikos +12.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ARI moneyline | 3.10 | moved down 2.50 |
| PAN moneyline | 1.33 | moved up 1.47 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 159.5 |
| ARI spread | +6.5 | moved down +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basket League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 390 | 357 | +33 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 419 | 352 | +67 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 432 | 326 | +106 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 405 | 444 | −39 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 357 | 356 | +1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 373 | +78 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 394 | 402 | −8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 413 | −10 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 379 | 397 | −18 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 367 | 379 | −12 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 374 | 406 | −32 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 377 | 412 | −35 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 431 | −50 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 348 | 429 | −81 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Elite League
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Aris host Panathinaikos in the Basket League on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.