Aris vs Maroussi Prediction & Odds

Basket League Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start10:30ET Round 3

ArisHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.04

7415222314

MaroussiAway · 1-4 · 11th · 7.40

5713151514

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Aris 15 22 23 14

Maroussi 13 15 15 14

FT Alexandreio Mellathron · GreeceAlexandreio Mellathron · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O155.5 1.32 72%

Over 155.5 points edge +0.8%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O155.5 1.32 Over 155.5 points Confidence72% model 72.1% · market 71.3% edge +0.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.04 80.2% 81.9% −1.7% 80% Won

Total points O155.5 1.32 72.1% 71.3% +0.8% 72% Lost

Point spread MAR +17.5 1.68 53.6% 64.4% −10.8% 54% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Aris7489

Maroussi5777

Total 166 actual 131

Winning margin ARI by 12 actual ARI by 17

Chance to win ARI 80% ARI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Aris7489

Maroussi5777

Total 166 Margin ARI by 12 Win ARI 80% Actual 131 · ARI won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Aris large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Maroussi

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Aris vs Maroussi

Aris Maroussi

Last 10 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Aris 4-1

Oct 14: Aris 88, Tortona 68. Won. Odds: Aris 1.08, Tortona 7.17.
Oct 10: Aris 88, AEK Athens 58. Won. Odds: Aris 1.25, AEK Athens 3.30.
Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Won. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
Oct 3: AS Karditsas 74, Aris 68. Lost. Odds: AS Karditsas 5.20, Aris 1.15.
Sep 29: Le Mans 74, Aris 87. Won. Odds: Le Mans 3.30, Aris 1.30.

Maroussi 2-3

Oct 10: Maroussi 79, Mykonos 82. Lost. Odds: Maroussi 1.47, Mykonos 2.40.
Oct 3: AEK Athens 91, Maroussi 70. Lost. Odds: AEK Athens 1.25, Maroussi 3.70.
Apr 25: PAOK 101, Maroussi 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Maroussi 108, Kolossos Rhodes 93. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 29: Iraklis 72, Maroussi 91. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ARI moneyline	1.04	1.04
MAR moneyline	7.65	moved down 7.40
Total points	167.5	moved down 165.5
ARI spread	−14.5	moved down −15.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basket League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	PAOK	5	5	0	10	390	357	+33
2	Aris	5	4	1	9	419	352	+67
3	Olympiacos	5	5	0	10	432	326	+106
4	Peristeri	5	3	2	8	405	444	−39
5	AS Karditsas	5	3	2	8	357	356	+1
6	Panathinaikos	5	4	1	9	451	373	+78
7	Lefkadas	5	2	3	7	394	402	−8
8	Kolossos Rhodes	5	2	3	7	403	413	−10
9	AEK Athens	5	2	3	7	379	397	−18
10	Iraklis	5	1	4	6	367	379	−12
11	Maroussi	5	1	4	6	374	406	−32
12	Mykonos	5	1	4	6	377	412	−35
13	Vikos	5	1	4	6	381	431	−50
14	Promitheas	5	1	4	6	348	429	−81

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Elite League

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Aris host Maroussi in the Basket League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.