Aris vs AEK Athens Prediction & Odds — Oct 10

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Basket League Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start10:30ET Round 2

ArisHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.25

8823192224

AEK AthensAway · 2-3 · 9th · 3.30

5810111423

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Aris 23 19 22 24

AEK Athens 10 11 14 23

FT Alexandreio Mellathron · GreeceAlexandreio Mellathron · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.25 51%

Aris to win edge −19.6%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.25 Aris to win Confidence51% model 50.2% · market 69.8% edge −19.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.25 50.2% 69.8% −19.6% 51% Won

Total points O164.5 1.93 56.6% 49.7% +6.9% 60% Lost

Point spread ATH +6.5 2.11 56.7% 50.0% +6.7% 59% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Aris8884

AEK Athens5883

Total 167 actual 146

Winning margin ARI by 1 actual ARI by 30

Chance to win ARI 50% ARI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Aris8884

AEK Athens5883

Total 167 Margin ARI by 1 Win ARI 50% Actual 146 · ARI won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Aris large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction AEK Athens

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Aris vs AEK Athens

Aris AEK Athens

Last 10 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Aris 3-2

Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Won. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
Oct 3: AS Karditsas 74, Aris 68. Lost. Odds: AS Karditsas 5.20, Aris 1.15.
Sep 29: Le Mans 74, Aris 87. Won. Odds: Le Mans 3.30, Aris 1.30.
May 25: AEK Athens 102, Aris 99. Lost. No odds on record.
May 17: Aris 90, AEK Athens 81. Won. No odds on record.

AEK Athens 2-3

Oct 7: AEK Athens 95, Salon Vilpas 93. Won. Odds: AEK Athens 1.04, Salon Vilpas 9.00.
Oct 3: AEK Athens 91, Maroussi 70. Won. Odds: AEK Athens 1.25, Maroussi 3.70.
Sep 26: Olympiacos 93, AEK Athens 80. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.07, AEK Athens 7.25.
May 30: AEK Athens 68, Olympiacos 95. Lost. No odds on record.
May 28: Olympiacos 94, AEK Athens 77. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ARI moneyline	1.35	moved down 1.25
ATH moneyline	2.95	moved up 3.30
Total points	164.5	moved down 163.5
ARI spread	−6.5	moved down −8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basket League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	PAOK	5	5	0	10	390	357	+33
2	Aris	5	4	1	9	419	352	+67
3	Olympiacos	5	5	0	10	432	326	+106
4	Peristeri	5	3	2	8	405	444	−39
5	AS Karditsas	5	3	2	8	357	356	+1
6	Panathinaikos	5	4	1	9	451	373	+78
7	Lefkadas	5	2	3	7	394	402	−8
8	Kolossos Rhodes	5	2	3	7	403	413	−10
9	AEK Athens	5	2	3	7	379	397	−18
10	Iraklis	5	1	4	6	367	379	−12
11	Maroussi	5	1	4	6	374	406	−32
12	Mykonos	5	1	4	6	377	412	−35
13	Vikos	5	1	4	6	381	431	−50
14	Promitheas	5	1	4	6	348	429	−81

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Elite League

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Aris host AEK Athens in the Basket League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.