Argentino vs Gimnasia Prediction & Odds

Liga A Monday, October 12, 2026Mon, Oct 12 Start19:30ET

ArgentinoHome · 3-2 · 6th · 3.05

8221242314

GimnasiaAway · 6-2 · 4th · 1.34

8719182921

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Argentino 21 24 23 14

Gimnasia 19 18 29 21

FT El Fortín de las Morochas · ArgentinaEl Fortín de las Morochas

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

ARG +17.5 1.25 85%

Argentino +17.5 on the spread edge +2.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won ARG +17.5 1.25 Argentino +17.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 76.3% · market 73.4% edge +2.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.34 49.7% 78.3% −28.6% 51% Won

Total points O149.5 1.37 71.0% 66.9% +4.1% 83% Won

Point spread ARG +17.5 1.25 76.3% 73.4% +2.9% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Argentino8278

Gimnasia8782

Total 160 actual 169

Winning margin GIM by 4 actual GIM by 5

Chance to win GIM 59% GIM won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Argentino8278

Gimnasia8782

Total 160 Margin GIM by 4 Win GIM 59% Actual 169 · GIM won

Last five games

Argentino 5-0

Oct 10: Argentino 82, San Martin 79. Won. Odds: Argentino 1.62, San Martin 1.85.
Sep 30: Argentino 79, Ferro 68. Won. Odds: Argentino 3.10, Ferro 1.30.
May 12: Argentino 88, Atenas 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Argentino 61, Atenas 53. Won. No odds on record.
May 6: Atenas 78, Argentino 84. Won. No odds on record.

Gimnasia 3-2

Oct 10: Racing de Chivilcoy 72, Gimnasia 78. Won. Odds: Racing de Chivilcoy 2.21, Gimnasia 1.62.
Oct 8: San Lorenzo 89, Gimnasia 73. Lost. Odds: San Lorenzo 2.50, Gimnasia 1.47.
Oct 4: Gimnasia 92, La Union 86. Won. Odds: Gimnasia 1.29, La Union 3.31.
Sep 30: Penarol 62, Gimnasia 57. Lost. Odds: Penarol 2.13, Gimnasia 1.66.
Sep 28: Lanus 74, Gimnasia 92. Won. Odds: Lanus 2.25, Gimnasia 1.55.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ARG moneyline	6.00	moved down 3.05
GIM moneyline	1.11	moved up 1.34
Total points	156.5	moved up 158.5
ARG spread	+11.5	moved down +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	1.000	506	443	+63
2	Penarol	5	4	1	.800	406	373	+33
3	Atenas	5	4	1	.800	434	419	+15
4	Gimnasia	8	6	2	.750	610	583	+27
5	Olimpico	5	3	2	.600	443	419	+24
6	Argentino	5	3	2	.600	403	394	+9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	5	3	2	.600	373	371	+2
8	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	.500	529	510	+19
9	Platense	6	3	3	.500	482	482	0
10	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	.500	200	190	+10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	7	3	4	.429	576	590	−14
12	Lanus	8	3	5	.375	606	632	−26
13	Ferro	6	2	4	.333	492	513	−21
14	La Union	3	1	2	.333	244	252	−8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	299	313	−14
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	305	323	−18
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	367	406	−39
18	San Martin	6	0	6	.000	509	571	−62

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Argentino host Gimnasia in the Liga A on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions