Argentino vs Ferro Prediction & Odds — Sep 30

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Liga A Wednesday, September 30, 2026Wed, Sep 30 Start20:00ET

ArgentinoHome · 3-2 · 6th · 3.10

7921231421

FerroAway · 2-4 · 13th · 1.30

681720229

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Argentino 21 23 14 21

Ferro 17 20 22 9

FT El Fortín de las Morochas · ArgentinaEl Fortín de las Morochas

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

2 1.30 52%

Ferro to win edge −24.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 1.30 Ferro to win Confidence52% model 51.0% · market 75.7% edge −24.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.30 51.0% 75.7% −24.7% 52% Lost

Total points U163.5 1.81 65.9% 50.0% +15.9% 69% Won

Point spread ARG +7.5 1.83 55.4% 50.0% +5.4% 59% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Argentino7978

Ferro6879

Total 157 actual 147

Winning margin FER by 1 actual ARG by 11

Chance to win FER 51% ARG won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Argentino7978

Ferro6879

Total 157 Margin FER by 1 Win FER 51% Actual 147 · ARG won

Last five games

Argentino 3-2

May 12: Argentino 88, Atenas 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Argentino 61, Atenas 53. Won. No odds on record.
May 6: Atenas 78, Argentino 84. Won. No odds on record.
May 4: Atenas 96, Argentino 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Argentino 69, Regatas 93. Lost. No odds on record.

Ferro 2-3

Jun 2: Gimnasia 88, Ferro 54. Lost. No odds on record.
May 30: Ferro 81, Gimnasia 73. Won. No odds on record.
May 28: Ferro 74, Gimnasia 70. Won. No odds on record.
May 25: Gimnasia 79, Ferro 74. Lost. No odds on record.
May 23: Gimnasia 81, Ferro 77. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ARG moneyline	3.80	moved down 3.10
FER moneyline	1.22	moved up 1.30
Total points	163.5	moved down 162.5
ARG spread	+7.5	+7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	1.000	506	443	+63
2	Penarol	5	4	1	.800	406	373	+33
3	Atenas	5	4	1	.800	434	419	+15
4	Gimnasia	8	6	2	.750	610	583	+27
5	Olimpico	5	3	2	.600	443	419	+24
6	Argentino	5	3	2	.600	403	394	+9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	5	3	2	.600	373	371	+2
8	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	.500	529	510	+19
9	Platense	6	3	3	.500	482	482	0
10	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	.500	200	190	+10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	7	3	4	.429	576	590	−14
12	Lanus	8	3	5	.375	606	632	−26
13	Ferro	6	2	4	.333	492	513	−21
14	La Union	3	1	2	.333	244	252	−8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	299	313	−14
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	305	323	−18
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	367	406	−39
18	San Martin	6	0	6	.000	509	571	−62

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Argentino host Ferro in the Liga A on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.