Appalachian State vs Merrimack Warriors prediction
Appalachian State
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Merrimack Warriors
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All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Appalachian State4970Merrimack Warriors6360Appalachian State4970Merrimack Warriors6360Total 130 Margin APP by 10 Win APP 74% Actual 112 · MER won
Appalachian State vs Merrimack Warriors
Appalachian State
Merrimack Warriors
Last five games
Appalachian State
1-4 - Mar 7: Appalachian State 73, Southern Miss 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 27: Texas State 60, Appalachian State 57. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 21: Appalachian State 89, Georgia Southern 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 19: Appalachian State 93, Marshall 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: James Madison 69, Appalachian State 58. Lost. No odds on record.
Merrimack Warriors
3-2 - Mar 10: Merrimack Warriors 54, Siena 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 8: Merrimack Warriors 58, Marist 57. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 6: Merrimack Warriors 70, Sacred Heart 48. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 1: Niagara 66, Merrimack Warriors 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 27: Canisius 67, Merrimack Warriors 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Merrimack Warriors dropped from 2.24 to 1.57 since they were first published.
- 1-4 in the last five for Appalachian State.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| APP moneyline | 1.59 | moved up 2.32 |
| MER moneyline | 2.24 | moved down 1.57 |
| Total points | 134.5 | moved down 133.5 |
| APP spread | −3.5 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NCAA standings
Regular Season · Sun Belt
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Appalachian State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Arkansas State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Coastal Carolina |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Georgia Southern |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Georgia State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Louisiana Monroe |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Louisiana Tech |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 |  Marshall |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Old Dominion |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  South Alabama |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 |  Southern Miss |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 12 |  Troy |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 13 |  Louisiana Lafayette |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 14 |  James Madison |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Regular Season · Metro Atlantic Athletic
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Canisius |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Fairfield |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Iona |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Manhattan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Marist |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Mount St. Mary's |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Niagara |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 |  Quinnipiac |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rider |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  Sacred Heart |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 |  St. Peters |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 12 |  Siena |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 13 | Merrimack Warriors |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Appalachian State host Merrimack Warriors in the NCAA on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.