Apollon vs AEK Larnaca prediction
Apollon
14
12
13
17
AEK Larnaca
26
23
18
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Apollon5678AEK Larnaca9085Apollon5678AEK Larnaca9085Total 163 Margin LAR by 7 Win LAR 68% Actual 146 · LAR won
Apollon
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction AEK Larnaca
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Apollon vs AEK Larnaca
Apollon
AEK Larnaca
Last 25 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Apollon at home, last 11 games · AEK Larnaca away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Apollon 0, AEK Larnaca 3.
- Average total 167.7 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LAR by 14 Mar 20, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 20, 2026 Division A AEK Larnaca 91–77 Apollon 168 pts
- Feb 13, 2026 Division A AEK Larnaca 85–74 Apollon 159 pts
- Dec 8, 2025 Division A Apollon 80–96 AEK Larnaca 176 pts
Last five games
Apollon
1-4 - Apr 7: Keravnos 92, Apollon 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Paralimni 80, Apollon 87. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Apoel BC 84, Apollon 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Apollon 77, AEL 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 20: AEK Larnaca 91, Apollon 77. Lost. No odds on record.
AEK Larnaca
3-2 - Oct 7: AEK Larnaca 73, Wurzburg 65. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 3.40, Wurzburg 1.26.
- Sep 16: CSM Oradea 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.08, AEK Larnaca 6.50.
- May 25: AEK Larnaca 68, Keravnos 64. Won. No odds on record.
- May 21: Keravnos 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: AEK Larnaca 76, Keravnos 75. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for AEK Larnaca.
- Net rating difference of 23.4 — Apollon −9.2 per 100 possessions, AEK Larnaca +14.2.
- 1-4 in the last five for Apollon.
- 167.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 156.5.
- 9th vs 1st in the Division A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| APO moneyline | 5.90 | moved down 4.65 |
| LAR moneyline | 1.09 | moved up 1.14 |
| Total points | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| APO spread | +14.5 | moved down +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Division A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 345 | 270 | +75 |
| 2 |  Keravnos |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 303 | +67 |
| 3 |  AEL |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 307 | 276 | +31 |
| 4 |  ETHA Engomi |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 274 | 290 | −16 |
| 5 |  Apoel BC |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 218 | +25 |
| 6 |  Morphou |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 272 | 312 | −40 |
| 7 |  Paralimni |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 243 | 253 | −10 |
| 8 |  Anorthosis |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 301 | 329 | −28 |
| 9 | Apollon |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 221 | 268 | −47 |
| 10 |  Achilleas K. |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 269 | −57 |
- Winners stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Apollon host AEK Larnaca in the Division A on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.